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CD Tepatitlan de Morelos - Tampico Madero prediction 02/10/2026

Match info

Competição
Liga de Expansion MX · Mexico
Início
Árbitro
J. L. Alba Dorado

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
CD Tepatitlan de Morelos

CD Tepatitlan de MorelosCancun FC04DLiga de Expansion MX

Piratas VeracruzCD Tepatitlan de Morelos30DLiga de Expansion MX

CD TapatioCD Tepatitlan de Morelos41DLiga de Expansion MX

CD Tepatitlan de MorelosAtletico Morelia11ELiga de Expansion MX

CD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico Madero31VLiga de Expansion MX
Tampico Madero

Atletico MoreliaTampico Madero12VLiga de Expansion MX

Tampico MaderoAlacranes de Durango00ELiga de Expansion MX

CD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico Madero31DLiga de Expansion MX

Correcaminos UATTampico Madero10DLiga de Expansion MX

Tampico MaderoDorados de Sinaloa11ELiga de Expansion MX

Confronto direto

11 confrontos
CD Tepatitlan de Morelos 4Empates 34 Tampico Madero

CD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico Madero31Liga de Expansion MX

Tampico MaderoCD Tepatitlan de Morelos20Liga de Expansion MX

CD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico Madero31Liga de Expansion MX

CD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico Madero10Liga de Expansion MX

Tampico MaderoCD Tepatitlan de Morelos00Liga de Expansion MX

Tampico MaderoCD Tepatitlan de Morelos01Liga de Expansion MX

Tampico MaderoCD Tepatitlan de Morelos10Liga de Expansion MX

CD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico Madero01Liga de Expansion MX

CD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico Madero00Liga de Expansion MX

Tampico MaderoCD Tepatitlan de Morelos21Liga de Expansion MX

Liga de Expansion MX 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Atletico La Paz1373330:1724
2Leones Negros UDG1373329:1924
3Atletico Morelia1372423:1523
4Piratas Veracruz1363421:1421
5Venados FC1363428:2321
6Durango1363416:1121
7Cancun FC1354422:1819
8Alebrijes de Oaxaca1461714:2519
9Mineros de Zacatecas1353526:2318
10CD Tapatio1352623:2517
11Dorados de Sinaloa1344523:2416
12Correcaminos UAT1344521:2216
13Tlaxcala FC1344525:2716
14Tampico Madero1343614:2015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo1435617:2214
16CD Tepatitlan de Morelos13211010:377

The CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Tampico Madero prediction for October 2, 2026, in the Liga de Expansion MX points to a tight contest. Based on the stats, Tampico Madero is the slight favorite with a 36% chance to win, while CD Tepatitlan de Morelos has a 29% probability and the draw stands at 35%.

Team Form

CD Tepatitlan de Morelos comes into this match with four defeats and one win in the last five games. At home, they lost to Mineros de Zacatecas (0-1) and Dorados de Sinaloa (1-4), but beat Tlaxcala FC (3-2). The defense conceded 13 goals in those five matches, a clear weakness.

Tampico Madero is also not in great shape: in the last five games, they had two losses, one draw, and two wins. As visitors, they lost to Correcaminos UAT (0-1) and Tlaxcala FC (1-3), plus a draw with Dorados de Sinaloa (1-1). The attack scored 6 goals in that period, but the defense allowed 9.

Head-to-Head Record

Overall, Tampico Madero leads with 4 wins, against 3 for CD Tepatitlan de Morelos and 3 draws in 10 games. However, in the last five meetings, CD Tepatitlan won three times, including a 3-1 and a 1-0 at home, while Tampico Madero won only once (2-0 away). Their most recent clash, in May 2026, ended with a 2-0 win for Tampico Madero.

League Table Positions

Tampico Madero sits 12th in the overall Liga de Expansion MX standings, with 11 points from 9 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses). CD Tepatitlan de Morelos is outside the top 12, indicating an even worse campaign. At home, Tampico Madero is strong (4th in the home table), but as visitors they do not appear among the top eight. CD Tepatitlan, playing at home, has an irregular record, with just one win in the last three home matches.

Win Probability: CD Tepatitlan de Morelos or Tampico Madero?

Based on the average bookmaker odds (4.15 for a CD Tepatitlan win, 2.33 for a draw, and 2.17 for Tampico Madero), the adjusted implied probabilities are: 29% chance for CD Tepatitlan to win, 35% for a draw, and 36% for Tampico Madero. The home factor and the recent head-to-head record slightly boost the home team's chances, but the poor form weighs against them. Tampico Madero is the slight favorite, but a draw has a high probability.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer average odds of 4.15 for a CD Tepatitlan de Morelos win, 2.33 for the draw, and 2.17 for Tampico Madero. This shows that bookmakers see Tampico Madero as the favorite, even playing away. Considering the current form of both teams and the recent history, the prediction is a balanced game, likely with few goals. The betting tip is the "double chance: draw or Tampico Madero" market, but the draw is also an attractive option.

CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Tampico Madero – FAQ

Who will win CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Tampico Madero?
According to our analysis, Tampico Madero has a 36% chance of winning, CD Tepatitlan de Morelos 29%, and the draw 35%. Tampico Madero is the favorite, but the match should be balanced.
What is the win probability for Tampico Madero?
Tampico Madero has a 36% probability of winning. This estimate considers the bookmaker odds, recent performance, and the head-to-head record.
When is the CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Tampico Madero match?
The match is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 22:00 local time, in the Liga de Expansion MX.
What are the odds for CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Tampico Madero?
The average odds are: CD Tepatitlan win 4.15, draw 2.33, and Tampico Madero win 2.17. Values may vary between bookmakers.
What is the head-to-head record between CD Tepatitlan de Morelos and Tampico Madero?
In 10 games, Tampico Madero won 4, CD Tepatitlan 3, and there were 3 draws. In the last five meetings, CD Tepatitlan won three times.