Montevideo City Torque Reserves - Cerro Largo Reserve prediction 13/10/2026

The Montevideo City Torque Reserves vs Cerro Largo Reserve prediction for October 13, 2026, points to a home win. This Primera Division Reserve League match kicks off at 14:00 local time, and based on recent form and head-to-head data, Montevideo City Torque Reserves enters as the favorite with a 55% win probability.

Team Form

Montevideo City Torque Reserves are in solid shape. Their last five matches show three wins and two draws. They beat Racing Montevideo Reserves 4-0 on Sep 30, won 3-1 away at River Plate Montevideo Reserves on Sep 28, and picked up a 2-1 victory at Juventud de las Piedras Reserves on Sep 14. The two draws came against CA Penarol Montevideo Reservers (1-1 on Oct 6) and Racing Montevideo Reserves (0-0 on Sep 21).

Cerro Largo Reserve have been inconsistent. Their last five results are one win, two draws, and two losses. They managed a 4-0 home win over Deportivo Maldonado Reserves on Oct 5, but lost 2-0 to Nacional Montevideo Reserves on Sep 21 and 4-2 at Boston River Reserves on Sep 14. The other two matches ended 0-0 against CA Progreso Reserves on Oct 8 and Club Oriental de La Paz Reserves on Sep 28.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before. On June 9, 2026, Montevideo City Torque Reserves won 2-1 away at Cerro Largo Reserve in the same competition. That head-to-head result gives the visitors a psychological edge, but the home side will look to reverse it.

League Table Positions

Exact league table positions are not available in the current data, but the form guide suggests Montevideo City Torque Reserves are higher in the Primera Division Reserve League standings. Their consistent run of results contrasts with Cerro Largo Reserve's mixed form, which likely places them in the upper half while the away side sits mid-table.

Win Probability: Montevideo City Torque Reserves or Cerro Largo Reserve?

Based on the available odds, team form, and the single head-to-head match, we calculate the win probability as follows: Montevideo City Torque Reserves has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Cerro Largo Reserve has a 20% chance. The home team's strong recent record (three wins in five) and the bookmakers' shorter odds back this up. Cerro Largo Reserve's two losses in their last five away-style matches lower their chances.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a home-favored contest. The best available odds show a home win at 1.70, a draw at 3.75, and an away win at 3.75. Other listed odds include a home price of 2.15 with a draw at 2.60 and an away at 3.70. The Montevideo City Torque Reserves vs Cerro Largo Reserve prediction based on the stats is a home victory. The odds and the team's current form make them the most likely winner, but the draw odds suggest some caution. For betting tips, the home win market offers value when you look at the gap in recent results.