Chainat FC - Pattaya Dolphins United prediction 16/09/2026

The Chainat FC vs Pattaya Dolphins United prediction for September 16, 2026, points to a tight Division 2 match in Thailand. Kick-off is at 11:00, and based on the stats, Pattaya Dolphins United enters as the slight favorite with a 45% win probability, while Chainat FC has a 35% chance and the draw sits at 20%.

Team Form

Chainat FC's recent form is mixed. Their last five results read L, W, L, W, D. They lost 3-0 away to Muang Loei United on Sep 13, but beat Phrae United 3-1 at home on Sep 06. Earlier friendly matches show a 2-0 loss to Uthai Thani FC, a 6-2 win over Welfare Royal Thai Air Force, and a 1-1 draw with TTM Lopburi FC.

Pattaya Dolphins United comes in with slightly better momentum: L, W, W, D, D. They lost 3-0 at home to BEC Police Tero Sasana on Sep 11, but won 1-0 away at Chiangmai United on Sep 05. Before that, they beat Chainat FC 2-1 in April, drew 3-3 with Sisaket United FC, and drew 0-0 with Phrae United.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Pattaya Dolphins United. In four previous meetings, Pattaya Dolphins United has 3 wins, Chainat FC has 0, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent clash was on Apr 25, 2026, when Pattaya Dolphins United won 2-1 away. The only draw was a 2-2 result back in August 2025. Chainat FC has never beaten this opponent in official matches.

League Table Positions

In the overall Division 2 standings, Chainat FC sits 11th with 3 points from 2 games (1 win, 1 loss), scoring 3 and conceding 4. Pattaya Dolphins United is 12th, also with 3 points from 2 games (1 win, 1 loss), but with only 1 goal scored and 3 conceded. At home, Chainat FC is 8th with a perfect record from one game (3 points, 3 goals for, 1 against). Away from home, Pattaya Dolphins United is also 8th with one win from one game (1 goal for, 0 against).

Win Probability: Chainat FC or Pattaya Dolphins United?

After analyzing the odds, form, and head-to-head stats, we calculate the win probability as follows: Pattaya Dolphins United has a 45% chance to win, Chainat FC has a 35% chance, and the draw is at 20%. The away team gets the edge because of a dominant H2H record (3 wins in 4 games) and a solid away win in their last road trip. Chainat FC's home win over Phrae United keeps them in the contest, but the historical match-up is a major factor. The odds also imply a close game, and we normalized them to remove the bookmaker margin, adjusting slightly for recent form.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varied 1X2 odds for this fixture. Some of the listed odds include home win at 2.40, draw at 2.10, and away win at 3.30. Other books have the home win as low as 2.30 and the draw around 2.25. The market sees this as an open match, but the best available price on a Pattaya Dolphins United win is 3.30, which might interest bettors who agree with the head-to-head trend. Based on the stats, our Chainat FC vs Pattaya Dolphins United prediction is a narrow away win or a draw, with the value likely on the away side.