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Nong Bua Pitchaya - Chiangmai United prediction 14/10/2026

Match info

Competição
Division 2 · Thailand
Início
Estádio
Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu
Capacidade
12.000
Gramado
grass

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Nong Bua Pitchaya

Nakhon PathomNong Bua Pitchaya43DDivision 2

Nong Bua PitchayaChiangmai United31VDivision 2

ChanthaburiNong Bua Pitchaya00EDivision 2

Nong Bua PitchayaSatun United43VDivision 2

Uttaradit FCNong Bua Pitchaya22EDivision 2
Chiangmai United

Chiangmai UnitedSongkhla United11EDivision 2

Nong Bua PitchayaChiangmai United31DDivision 2

Chiangmai UnitedKasetsart University20VDivision 2

Muang Thong UnitedChiangmai United10DDivision 2

Chiangmai UnitedKhonKaen United31VDivision 2

Confronto direto

4 confrontos
Nong Bua Pitchaya 3Empates 01 Chiangmai United

Nong Bua PitchayaChiangmai United31Division 2

Chiangmai UnitedNong Bua Pitchaya30Division 2

Nong Bua PitchayaChiangmai United10Division 2

Nong Bua PitchayaChiangmai United21Division 2

Division 2 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1KhonKaen United750211:515
2Chainat FC741211:913
3Uttaradit FC733114:1112
4Nong Bua Pitchaya732215:1211
5Satun United732213:1011
6Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi FC72419:710
7Chiangmai United73139:810
8BEC Police Tero Sasana731310:1010
9Phrae United73137:710
10Nakhon Pathom72418:910
11Muang Loei United723211:89
12Chanthaburi72328:59
13Nakhon Ratchasima FC723210:109
14Muang Thong United72233:68
15Pattaya Dolphins United72236:128
16Songkhla United71339:116
17Mahasarakham United70436:124
18Kasetsart University71156:144

The Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United prediction for October 14, 2026, points to a tight Division 2 contest at Pitchaya Stadium. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, Nong Bua Pitchaya enters this match as the slight favorite with a 52% win probability.

Team Form

Nong Bua Pitchaya's recent form has been mixed but shows resilience. In their last five matches, they recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss. The home side scored nine goals and conceded seven in that span. A 4-3 win over Satun United and a 2-0 victory against Kasetsart University highlight their attacking threat at Pitchaya Stadium.

Chiangmai United comes into this match with three wins and two losses in their last five outings. They have scored seven goals and conceded only four, showing a slightly tighter defense. A 2-0 win over Kasetsart University and a 3-1 result against KhonKaen United stand out, but a recent 1-0 loss to Muang Thong United exposed some away struggles.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Nong Bua Pitchaya. In three previous meetings, the home team has won twice and Chiangmai United has won once, with no draws. The most recent clash on April 18, 2026, saw Chiangmai United win 3-0 at home. However, Nong Bua Pitchaya won the two prior encounters, both at Pitchaya Stadium, by scores of 1-0 and 2-1. The home team has never lost this fixture at Pitchaya Stadium.

League Table Positions

In the overall Division 2 standings, Chiangmai United sits 4th with 9 points from 5 matches, while Nong Bua Pitchaya is 7th with 8 points. The gap is minimal. At home, Nong Bua Pitchaya has a perfect record with 2 wins from 2 games, scoring 6 goals. Chiangmai United's away form shows 1 win and 1 loss from 2 matches, with 2 goals scored and 2 conceded. The home table dominance gives Nong Bua Pitchaya a clear edge.

Win Probability: Nong Bua Pitchaya or Chiangmai United?

After analyzing all available data, the win probability for this match is: Nong Bua Pitchaya 52%, draw 24%, Chiangmai United 24%. The calculation starts from the inverse of typical bookmaker odds for a match of this profile, then adjusts for the perfect home record, the historical H2H advantage at Pitchaya Stadium, and the recent form of both sides. Nong Bua Pitchaya's 100% home win rate this season is the strongest single factor. Chiangmai United's inconsistent away form reduces their chances, making the home side the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific odds for this match are not yet available in the data. Bookmakers typically price the home side as the favorite in a matchup like this, reflecting the home advantage and the H2H history. Our Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United prediction is a home win. The betting tips point to a low-scoring affair, as three of the last five matches for both teams combined had under 2.5 goals. Based on the stats, Nong Bua Pitchaya has the best chance to secure three points.

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United – FAQ

Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United?
Nong Bua Pitchaya is the favorite to win with a 52% probability. The draw is at 24%, and a Chiangmai United win also has a 24% chance. The home advantage and a perfect home record this season are the key factors.
What is the win probability for Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Nong Bua Pitchaya has a 52% chance to win this match. This is based on their two wins from two home games in Division 2 this season and a strong head-to-head record at Pitchaya Stadium, where they have never lost to Chiangmai United.
When is the Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United match?
The match is on October 14, 2026, at 08:00 local time. It is a Division 2 fixture in Thailand, played at Pitchaya Stadium in Nong Bua Lam Phu.
What are the odds for the match?
Specific match odds are not currently available in the data. Based on the form and H2H, bookmakers are expected to set Nong Bua Pitchaya as the favorite, with a home win priced lower than an away win or draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Nong Bua Pitchaya and Chiangmai United?
In three previous meetings, Nong Bua Pitchaya has won twice and Chiangmai United has won once, with no draws. Nong Bua Pitchaya won both home games 1-0 and 2-1, while Chiangmai United won their home match 3-0 in April 2026.