Desportivo de Pemba - Chingale de Tete prediction 09/10/2026

The Desportivo de Pemba vs Chingale de Tete prediction for October 9, 2026, in the Mocambola points to a home favorite. Based on the latest odds and team form, Desportivo de Pemba has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Chingale de Tete has a 17% chance.

Team Form

Desportivo de Pemba comes into this match with mixed results. Their last three games show two losses and one win. They lost 2-0 away to Ferroviario Maputo on Aug 9 and 2-0 away to Black Bulls on Aug 5. Before that, they beat Vilankulo 2-1 at home on Jun 21. That home win is a key stat for this prediction.

Chingale de Tete is in poor form. Their last five matches are four losses and one draw. They lost 1-0 at home to Costa do Sol on Sep 16, 2-1 away to Black Bulls on Sep 2, 1-0 away to Ferroviario Maputo on Aug 30, and 1-0 away to Ferroviario Lichinga on Aug 10. The only point came from a 0-0 draw away to Maxaquene on Jun 21. The away team has struggled to score, which is a big factor in the Desportivo de Pemba vs Chingale de Tete betting tips.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous head-to-head matches between these two sides. The H2H record shows 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins. This makes the form and league table positions even more important for the who will win question.

League Table Positions

While exact table positions are not in the data, the recent results give a clear picture. Desportivo de Pemba has a home win in their pocket, while Chingale de Tete has not won any of their last five matches. The gap in form suggests Desportivo de Pemba sits higher in the Mocambola standings. The home advantage and the opponent's poor away record are central to the win probability analysis.

Win Probability: Desportivo de Pemba or Chingale de Tete?

We calculated the match outcome chances using the available odds and team stats. The bookmakers' odds were normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted for recent form and the home factor. Desportivo de Pemba has a 55% chance to win, the draw has a 28% chance, and Chingale de Tete has a 17% chance. The home team's win probability is high because they play at home, they won their last home game, and the away team has lost four of their last five matches, failing to score in most of them.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this Mocambola match show two different bookmaker views. One bookmaker offers home odds of 2.45, draw odds of 1.88, and away odds of 5.15. Another has home odds at 1.67, draw at 3.10, and away at 5.00. The low draw odds from the first bookmaker and the short home odds from the second confirm that Desportivo de Pemba is the favorite. Based on the stats, the Desportivo de Pemba vs Chingale de Tete prediction is a home win. The total goals could be low, given Chingale de Tete's scoring problems. A 1-0 or 2-0 home win looks like the most likely match outcome.