Chivas Guadalajara Women - Monterrey Women prediction 12/09/2026

Chivas Guadalajara Women vs Monterrey Women prediction for the Liga MX Women match on Sep 12, 2026, at 23:00. Based on the stats, Monterrey Women are the favorites with a 50% win probability, while Chivas Guadalajara Women have a 25% chance and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Chivas Guadalajara Women come into this match with three wins and two losses in their last five games. They beat Atlas Women 4-0 away, lost 2-0 at home to Unam Pumas Women, and fell 3-1 to Pachuca Women away. At home, they have a mixed record: a 3-1 win over Atletico San Luis Women but that 2-0 loss to Unam Pumas Women.

Monterrey Women are in excellent shape with four wins in their last five outings. They crushed Toluca Women 5-1 at home, won 4-0 at Queretaro Women, and crushed Santos Laguna Women 4-1 away. Their only slip was a 3-2 home loss to Club Leon Women. On the road, Monterrey Women have been perfect this season – three away wins, 10 goals scored, and just 2 conceded.

Head-to-Head Record

The last four meetings between these two sides show a clear edge for Monterrey Women. They have won two, while two ended in draws. Chivas Guadalajara Women have not beaten Monterrey Women in any of those matches. The most recent clash, on Mar 21, 2026, ended 0-0. Earlier, on Aug 27, 2025, it was a 1-1 draw. On Jan 26, 2025, Monterrey Women won 1-0 away, and on Oct 21, 2024, they won 3-2 at home. The H2H record strongly favors the visitors.

League Table Positions

Monterrey Women sit 3rd in the overall Liga MX Women table with 15 points from 6 games (5 wins, 1 loss). They have scored 20 goals and conceded only 7. Chivas Guadalajara Women are 5th with 12 points (4 wins, 2 losses), 15 goals for, and 8 against. In the home table, Chivas are 6th with 6 points from 3 home games (2 wins, 1 loss). Monterrey Women are 2nd in the away table, taking 9 points from 3 away games – all wins – with a 10-2 goal difference. The gap in quality and consistency is clear.

Win Probability: Chivas Guadalajara Women or Monterrey Women?

After analyzing all available data, we assign a 50% win probability to Monterrey Women, 25% to Chivas Guadalajara Women, and 25% to a draw. This calculation is based on current form, the head-to-head record, league positions, and the home/away factor. Monterrey Women have a perfect away record, a better overall standing, and have never lost to Chivas in the last four encounters. The only real question is whether Chivas can snatch a draw, as they have done twice in the recent H2H. But the most likely outcome remains a Monterrey Women win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available at the time of writing. Based on the stats, Monterrey Women are the clear favorites. A bet on an away win looks the safest option, with the draw as a possible hedge. Chivas Guadalajara Women will need a big performance to turn the H2H trend around. Our final prediction is a Monterrey Women victory, likely with a one-goal margin.