Chojniczanka Chojnice - Podhale Nowy Targ prediction 09/10/2026

Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Podhale Nowy Targ prediction for October 9, 2026 in II Liga. The match kicks off at 13:00. Based on the stats, Chojniczanka Chojnice has a 42% chance to win, the draw is at 30%, and Podhale Nowy Targ has a 28% chance.

Team Form

Chojniczanka Chojnice come into this match with mixed recent results. Their last five matches show two wins, two draws, and one loss. They lost 3-1 away to Gornik Leczna on Oct 4, beat Olimpia Grudziadz 3-1 at home on Sep 19, and won 5-1 away at Swit Skolwin Szczecin on Sep 12. They also drew 2-2 at home with Resovia Rzeszow and 1-1 away at Sokol Kleczew.

Podhale Nowy Targ have been in strong form with four wins in their last five matches. They beat Rekord Bielsko-Biala 2-1 at home on Oct 3, lost 3-0 away to Legia Warszawa II on Sep 19, and won 5-0 at home against Stal Stalowa Wola on Sep 12. They also beat Sandecja Nowy Sacz 2-1 and Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3-1 at home.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record favors Podhale Nowy Targ. In three previous meetings, Podhale Nowy Targ won twice and one match ended in a draw. Chojniczanka Chojnice have not won against this opponent. The most recent match was on Aug 5, 2026 in the Cup, when Podhale Nowy Targ won 2-0 at home. In II Liga, Podhale Nowy Targ won 3-2 at home on May 9, 2026, and the teams drew 0-0 on Oct 25, 2025.

League Table Positions

Podhale Nowy Targ sit 4th in the II Liga table with 17 points from 10 matches. They have scored 20 goals and conceded 18. Chojniczanka Chojnice are 11th with 14 points from 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 17. At home, Podhale Nowy Targ are 2nd with 13 points from 6 matches. Chojniczanka Chojnice are 8th in the away table with 7 points from 5 matches.

Win Probability: Chojniczanka Chojnice or Podhale Nowy Targ?

Who will win this match? Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, Chojniczanka Chojnice has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Podhale Nowy Targ has a 28% chance. The bookmakers see Chojniczanka Chojnice as the favorite, but the margin is small. Podhale Nowy Targ have a better league position and a strong head-to-head record, which keeps this match close. The home advantage for Chojniczanka Chojnice is the main factor that pushes their win probability slightly above the away team.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this match show a tight contest. The best available home odds for Chojniczanka Chojnice are 2.35, the draw is at 2.92, and the away odds for Podhale Nowy Targ are 3.05. Other bookmakers offer home odds between 2.10 and 2.30, draw odds between 2.30 and 2.38, and away odds between 2.67 and 2.88. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow home win or a draw. Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Podhale Nowy Targ prediction: home win or draw, with Chojniczanka Chojnice having a slight edge.