Colombia - Paraguay prediction 02/10/2026

The Colombia vs Paraguay prediction for the Friendly International match on October 2, 2026, points to a home win. Kick-off is at 21:00 local time. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and team form, Colombia has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Paraguay has a 20% chance.

Team Form

Colombia comes into this match with a solid recent record. Their last five results are two wins and three draws. They drew 1-1 away against Mexico on Sep 26 and had a 0-0 draw with Switzerland in the World Cup. Before that, they beat Ghana 1-0, drew 0-0 with Portugal, and beat Congo DR 1-0. Colombia's defense has been strong, keeping clean sheets in four of those five matches.

Paraguay's form is more mixed. Their last five results show two wins, two draws, and one loss. They won 2-0 away against Bolivia on Sep 27. In the World Cup, they lost 1-0 to France, drew 1-1 with Germany, drew 0-0 with Australia, and beat Turkey 1-0. Paraguay has also been tough to break down, with three clean sheets in their last five games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Colombia and Paraguay favors the home side. In their last 7 meetings, Colombia has 3 wins, Paraguay has 1 win, and there have been 3 draws. The most recent match was a 2-2 draw in World Cup Qualification on Mar 25, 2025. Before that, Colombia won 1-0 away in November 2023. In the 2022 Friendly International, Colombia won 2-0 at home. The overall H2H stats show Colombia is unbeaten in 6 of the last 7 encounters.

League Table Positions

This is a Friendly International match, so there are no league table positions or points to compare. Both teams will use this game to test tactics and give playing time to squad members.

Win Probability: Colombia or Paraguay?

Our win probability calculation gives Colombia a 55% chance to win. The draw has a 25% probability, and a Paraguay away win sits at 20%. These percentages are based on the betting odds, where bookmakers have Colombia as the clear favorite with average odds around 1.70. We adjusted the inverse odds to remove the bookmaker margin and then factored in Colombia's home advantage, their unbeaten H2H record at home, and their slightly better recent form. Paraguay's chances are lower mainly because they are playing away and have won only once in seven H2H meetings.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this Colombia vs Paraguay match show a home win priced between 1.65 and 1.78. The draw is offered from 2.08 to 3.70, and an away win is from 4.60 to 5.35. Bookmakers see Colombia as the favorite. Based on the stats and the win probability, the Colombia vs Paraguay prediction is a home win. A 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline looks likely, given both teams' recent defensive records. For betting tips, the home win offers value, and the under 2.5 goals market could also be worth a look.