Montedio Yamagata - Consadole Sapporo prediction 21/10/2026

Montedio Yamagata vs Consadole Sapporo prediction for the J2 League match on October 21, 2026, at 01:00 (Brasília time). Based on the odds and recent form, Montedio Yamagata has a 39% chance of winning, while the draw is at 28% and Consadole Sapporo has a 33% chance. This is a tight matchup between two teams looking to climb the table.

Team Form

Montedio Yamagata's last five matches: D, L, L, L, W. They drew 0-0 away to Fujieda MYFC, lost 0-1 at home to Vegalta Sendai, lost 2-1 away to Oita Trinita, lost 2-1 at home to Yokohama F Marinos in the League Cup, and beat Sagan Tosu 2-0 at home. Only one win in five shows inconsistent form.

Consadole Sapporo's last five: W, L, W, L, L. They beat Blaublitz Akita 1-0 at home, lost 1-0 away to Jubilo Iwata, beat Iwaki 2-1 at home, lost 2-1 at home to Fagiano Okayama in the League Cup, and lost 3-2 away to Tegevajaro Miyazaki. Two wins but three losses, all recent defeats coming on the road or against tough opponents.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice recently. Montedio Yamagata won 2-1 away at Consadole Sapporo on October 4, 2025. Consadole Sapporo returned the favor with a 1-0 away win on May 3, 2025. The head-to-head is perfectly balanced with one away win each.

League Table Positions

Neither Montedio Yamagata nor Consadole Sapporo appear in the top 12 of the J2 League standings provided, suggesting both are in the lower half of the table. Their exact positions are not available, but the lack of a top-half presence underlines why this match is crucial for both sides.

Win Probability: Montedio Yamagata or Consadole Sapporo?

After analyzing the odds, form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Montedio Yamagata 39%, draw 28%, Consadole Sapporo 33%. The bookmakers' opening odds (home 2.41, draw 3.50, away 3.13) imply a slight edge for the home side, which we adjusted slightly downward due to Montedio's poor recent form. Consadole Sapporo's away win in the last H2H meeting and their slightly better recent results give them a real chance, but home advantage keeps Montedio as the marginal favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are: Montedio Yamagata win at 2.41, draw at 3.50, and Consadole Sapporo win at 3.13. Bookmakers see Montedio as the favorite, but the odds are close. Our Montedio Yamagata vs Consadole Sapporo prediction is a tight contest. Based on the stats, a low-scoring draw or a narrow home win are the most likely outcomes. The betting tip would be to consider the draw or a small stake on Montedio.