Costa do Sol - Ferroviario Lichinga prediction 09/10/2026

Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Lichinga prediction for the Mocambola match on Oct 9 at 10:00. Costa do Sol is the favorite with a 58% chance to win, while the draw is at 24% and Ferroviario Lichinga has an 18% chance. This betting tips guide covers team form, head-to-head record, league table positions and odds.

Team Form

Costa do Sol comes into this match with strong recent results. Their last five matches show four wins and one loss. In their most recent game on Sep 16, Costa do Sol beat Chingale de Tete 1-0 away from home. Before that, they won 1-0 at home against Liga Desportiva De Sofala on Sep 2. The only recent setback was a 1-2 home loss to Ferroviario Beira on Aug 30. Costa do Sol also beat Black Bulls 3-0 at home on Aug 26 and won 1-0 away at Ferroviario Maputo on Aug 22.

Ferroviario Lichinga has mixed form with two draws, two wins and one loss in their last five matches. They drew 0-0 at home against Ferroviario Nampula on Oct 5 and 0-0 at home against Ferroviario De Nacala on Sep 16. Their best recent result was a 3-0 home win over Ferroviario Nampula on Sep 13. They lost 1-2 away at Baia de Pemba on Sep 2 and won 1-0 away at Liga Desportiva De Sofala on Aug 17.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record strongly favors Costa do Sol. In four previous meetings, Costa do Sol has won three times and Ferroviario Lichinga has won once, with no draws. The most recent match was on Jun 26, 2026, when Ferroviario Lichinga won 2-1 at home. Before that, Costa do Sol won 1-0 at home on Aug 20, 2025, 3-1 at home on Jun 3, 2023, and 2-1 at home on Jul 3, 2022. Costa do Sol has won all three home matches against Ferroviario Lichinga.

League Table Positions

Both teams play in the Mocambola league in Mozambique. The JSON data does not include current league table positions or points, so we cannot compare their exact standings. However, Costa do Sol's recent form of four wins in five matches suggests they are in better shape than Ferroviario Lichinga, who have drawn two of their last five.

Win Probability: Costa do Sol or Ferroviario Lichinga?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record and home advantage, Costa do Sol has a 58% chance of winning. The draw is at 24%, and Ferroviario Lichinga has an 18% chance. These percentages come from the bookmaker odds, which show Costa do Sol as the clear favorite. The home team has won three of the four head-to-head matches, and Costa do Sol has won four of their last five games. Ferroviario Lichinga has struggled for consistency with two goalless draws in their recent matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this match show Costa do Sol at 2.50 and 2.40 for a home win, the draw at 1.91 and 1.85, and Ferroviario Lichinga at 5.50 and 5.70 for an away win. Bookmakers see Costa do Sol as the favorite, but the draw odds are also quite low. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Costa do Sol win. The head-to-head record and current form both point to the home team. A 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline for Costa do Sol looks realistic based on previous meetings.