Criciuma SC - Operario PR prediction 22/09/2026

This Criciuma SC vs Operario PR prediction looks at the Serie B match on Sep 22 at 19:30. Based on the stats, Criciuma SC is the favorite with a 48% win probability, the draw is at 28%, and Operario PR has a 24% chance. Who will win? We break down the form, head-to-head record, and league table positions to give you the best betting tips.

Team Form

Criciuma SC comes into this match with a rough patch of results. Their last five games show four losses and just one win: L, L, W, L, L. The most recent was a heavy 4-0 away defeat to Atletico Goianiense GO on Sep 13. Before that, they lost 0-2 at home to Juventude RS and 2-1 away to CRB AL. The only bright spot was a 2-0 home win against Cuiaba MT on Sep 4. They have scored just 3 goals in these five matches while conceding 10.

Operario PR is in much better shape. Their last five results are D, W, W, D, D - no losses. They drew 3-3 away at Nautico PE on Sep 15, beat CRB AL 3-0 at home, and won 2-1 away at Londrina PR. Two other draws against Fortaleza CE (1-1) and Vila Nova GO (0-0) show they are tough to beat. Operario PR has scored 9 goals and conceded 5 in this run. The away team clearly has the momentum.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Operario PR. In the last 9 meetings, Operario PR has 6 wins, Criciuma SC has 1 win, and there have been 2 draws. The most recent match was on May 24, 2026, a 1-1 draw where Operario PR was the home side. Before that, Operario PR won 1-0 at home on Aug 1, 2025, and 2-1 away at Criciuma SC on Apr 4, 2025. Criciuma SC's only win in this period was a 2-0 home victory back on Aug 17, 2022. This history gives Operario PR a clear psychological edge.

League Table Positions

In the Serie B standings, Criciuma SC sits 5th with 47 points from 28 matches (13 wins, 8 draws, 7 losses). They have scored 28 goals and conceded 25. Operario PR is 8th with 44 points from 28 matches (12 wins, 8 draws, 8 losses), scoring 39 and conceding 36. At home, Criciuma SC is strong - 4th in the home table with 28 points from 14 games (8 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). Operario PR's away form is decent, ranked 7th with 19 points from 14 away games (5 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses). The table shows a tight contest, but Criciuma SC's home advantage is a key factor.

Win Probability: Criciuma SC or Operario PR?

We calculate the win probability for this Criciuma SC vs Operario PR match using the odds, form, and standings. The bookmaker odds average implies a home win chance around 48%, a draw at 28%, and an away win at 24%. Criciuma SC's strong home record (8 wins in 14) supports this, but their terrible recent form (4 losses in 5) lowers confidence. Operario PR's unbeaten run and dominant head-to-head record (6 wins in 9) push their chances up. The draw is a real possibility given Operario PR's three draws in five games and the 1-1 result in the last meeting. Our final win probability: Criciuma SC 48%, Draw 28%, Operario PR 24%. Criciuma SC is more likely to win, but it is far from a sure thing.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are: Criciuma SC win at 2.00, draw at 3.33, and Operario PR win at 4.70. Some bookmakers have the home win as low as 1.83. These odds confirm Criciuma SC as the favorite. Our Criciuma SC vs Operario PR prediction is a home win, but with low confidence due to the contrasting form. The betting tips point to a tight game. Based on the stats, under 2.5 goals could also be a smart pick, given Criciuma SC's recent scoring struggles and Operario PR's solid defense on the road. Always check the latest team news before placing any bets.