AD San Carlos - CS Cartagines prediction 20/09/2026

The AD San Carlos vs CS Cartagines prediction for September 21, 2026 in the Costa Rica Primera Division points to a tight contest where the visitors hold a slight edge. CS Cartagines enters the match with a 48% win probability, while AD San Carlos sits at 27% and the draw is at 25%. This betting tips preview breaks down the team form, head-to-head record, league table positions, and the latest odds to help you decide who will win.

Team Form

AD San Carlos comes into this match with a solid recent run, winning four of their last five matches. They beat Municipal Perez Zeledon 2-0 away, edged Sporting San Jose 1-0 at home, and secured a 1-0 win at LD Alajuelense. A 1-2 home loss to Marineros de Puntarenas and a 1-0 home win over Herediano round out their last five results.

CS Cartagines has been even more impressive, also winning four of their last five. They claimed a 3-1 home win over LD Alajuelense, a 3-1 away victory at Marineros de Puntarenas, a 1-0 home win against Herediano, and a 4-1 away thrashing of CD Escorpiones Belen. Their only recent slip was a 3-2 loss at Deportivo Saprissa. The away team's attack has been firing, scoring 13 goals in those five games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides shows CS Cartagines with a clear advantage. In 41 previous meetings, CS Cartagines has won 17 times, AD San Carlos has 8 wins, and there have been 16 draws. The last five matches tell a similar story: CS Cartagines won 2-1 on Apr 22, 2026, 2-1 on Nov 02, 2025, and 2-0 on Sep 14, 2025. AD San Carlos managed a 1-1 draw on Mar 02, 2026, and a 1-2 home loss on Apr 17, 2025. CS Cartagines has won four of the last five head-to-head clashes.

League Table Positions

In the overall Primera Division standings, CS Cartagines sits in 2nd place with 18 points from 8 matches (6 wins, 2 losses), scoring 18 goals and conceding 9. AD San Carlos is in 5th place with 12 points from 8 games (4 wins, 4 losses), with 7 goals scored and 9 conceded. The 6-point gap and superior goal difference highlight the visitors' stronger campaign so far. At home, AD San Carlos has 6 points from 4 matches (2 wins, 2 losses), while CS Cartagines has collected 6 points from 4 away games (2 wins, 2 losses).

Win Probability: AD San Carlos or CS Cartagines?

Based on the available odds, recent form, and head-to-head history, we calculate the win probability as follows: CS Cartagines has a 48% chance to win, the draw is at 25%, and AD San Carlos has a 27% chance. The odds imply a tight match, with the draw priced around 2.10 being the shortest of the three outcomes. However, CS Cartagines' superior league position, dominant head-to-head record (4 wins in the last 5), and high-scoring away form tip the balance in their favor. AD San Carlos' home advantage and decent recent results keep them within striking distance, but the visitors are the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds from bookmakers show a close contest. The average odds are around 3.00 for an AD San Carlos home win, 2.10 for the draw, and 2.60 for a CS Cartagines away win. The draw is the favorite outcome in the market, but the win probability model adjusts for the margin and recent stats. Our AD San Carlos vs CS Cartagines prediction is an away win for CS Cartagines, based on their strong head-to-head dominance and better league form. Betting tips for this match suggest the away win offers value, while the draw is the bookmakers' safety net.