Jong PSV Eindhoven - Den Bosch prediction 07/09/2026

Jong PSV Eindhoven vs Den Bosch prediction for the 1 Eerste Divisie match on Sep 07 at 18:00. Based on the latest odds, team form and head-to-head record, Jong PSV Eindhoven is the favorite with a 47% win probability. Den Bosch has a 28% chance to win, while the draw is at 25%.

Team Form

Jong PSV Eindhoven come into this match with a mixed run of results. Their last five matches show two wins, two draws and one loss. They drew 1-1 at home against Jong Ajax on Aug 31, drew 2-2 away at RKC Waalwijk on Aug 28, beat Oss 1-0 at home on Aug 24, lost 3-1 away at Almere City on Aug 14, and beat Volendam 3-2 at home on Aug 10. At home this season, Jong PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten with two wins and one draw from three matches, sitting 3rd in the home table with 7 points.

Den Bosch have also had an inconsistent run of form. Their last five matches show two wins, one draw and two losses. They lost 4-1 at home against Vitesse Arnhem on Aug 28, beat FC Eindhoven 5-2 at home on Aug 21, lost 3-2 away at Heracles Almelo on Aug 14, drew 1-1 at home against Almere City on Aug 08, and beat Al Feiha 2-0 in a friendly on Jul 31. Den Bosch are not in the top eight of the away standings table.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five head-to-head meetings between these two teams, Den Bosch have won twice, Jong PSV Eindhoven have won once, and two matches ended in draws. The most recent match was on Mar 16, when Den Bosch beat Jong PSV Eindhoven 1-0 at home. Before that, on Sep 22, Jong PSV Eindhoven won 3-0 at home. On Mar 31, Den Bosch won 4-2 away. On Dec 13, the teams drew 1-1 at Den Bosch. On Jan 15, they drew 2-2 at Jong PSV Eindhoven. The H2H record shows Den Bosch with a slight edge historically.

League Table Positions

In the overall 1 Eerste Divisie standings, Jong PSV Eindhoven are 9th with 8 points from 5 matches, having scored 8 goals and conceded 8. Den Bosch are not in the top 12 of the overall table provided. At home, Jong PSV Eindhoven are 3rd with 7 points from 3 matches. The away table shows Den Bosch are not in the top 8, meaning their away form has been weaker than Jong PSV's home form.

Win Probability: Jong PSV Eindhoven or Den Bosch?

Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record and league positions, we calculate the win probability as follows: Jong PSV Eindhoven has a 47% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Den Bosch has a 28% chance. The odds from bookmakers show Jong PSV Eindhoven as the favorite, with the best home win odds around 1.80 to 2.30. The inverse of the average odds, normalized to remove the margin, gives Jong PSV a clear edge. Their strong home form - unbeaten in three - supports this, while Den Bosch's away record is not among the league's best. The head-to-head record is slightly in Den Bosch's favor, which is why their win probability is not lower. Overall, Jong PSV Eindhoven are more likely to win this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds for this match from different bookmakers range from 1.80 to 2.30 for a Jong PSV Eindhoven win, 2.50 to 2.88 for the draw, and 2.80 to 3.10 for a Den Bosch win. Bookmakers see Jong PSV Eindhoven as the favorite. Our Jong PSV Eindhoven vs Den Bosch prediction is a home win, based on the stats and the 47% win probability. Betting tips would lean towards Jong PSV Eindhoven to win, but the draw is also a realistic outcome given the H2H record.