Probabilidade de vitóriapelas odds 1X2
Portugal 57%Empate 31%12% Denmark
Match info
- Competição
- UEFA Nations League · Europe
- Início
- Estádio
- Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
- Capacidade
- 30.286
- Gramado
- grass
Forma recente
últimos 5 jogos
PortugalPortugalNorway21VUEFA Nations League
DenmarkPortugal24VUEFA Nations League
NorwayPortugal12VUEFA Nations League
PortugalWales10VUEFA Nations League
PortugalSpain01DWorld Cup
DenmarkWalesDenmark01VUEFA Nations League
DenmarkPortugal24DUEFA Nations League
DenmarkWales20VUEFA Nations League
NorwayDenmark32DUEFA Nations League
DenmarkUkraine21VFriendly International
Full Time Result
comparar casas de apostasCasa de apostas
Melhor cotação disponível
Escalações
confirmadaPortugal · Formação 4-2-3-1 · jogadores por posição99Costa
2Dalot
Mendes
17Tavares
12Veiga
3Dias
Silva
8Fernandes
36Palhinha
17Vítinha
9Ramos
11Félix
Portugal
Titulares
- Bernardo SilvaPortugalMEI
- 8Bruno FernandesPortugalMEI
- 99Diogo CostaPortugalGOL
- 2Diogo DalotPortugalDEF
- 9Goncalo RamosPortugalATA
- 11João FélixPortugalATA
- 36João PalhinhaPortugalMEI
- Nuno MendesPortugalDEF
- 17Nuno TavaresPortugalDEF
- 12Renato VeigaPortugalDEF
- 3Ruben DiasPortugalDEF
- 17VítinhaPortugalMEI
Reservas
- 21Fábio SilvaPortugalATA
- 16Francisco TrincãoPortugalATA
- 44Tomas AraújoPortugalDEF
- 87João NevesPortugalMEI
- 18Pedro NetoPortugalATA
- 27Rafael LeãoPortugalATA
- 21Rúben NevesPortugalMEI
- 1Rui SilvaPortugalGOL
- 24Samuel SoaresPortugalGOL
Denmark
Titulares
- 11Gustav IsaksenDenmarkATA
- 2Joachim AndersenDenmarkDEF
- 5Joakim MaehleDenmarkDEF
- 1Mads HermansenDenmarkGOL
- 20Mohammed DaramyDenmarkATA
- Morten HjulmandDenmarkMEI
- 25Oliver ProvstgaardDenmarkDEF
- 23Pierre Emil HøjbjergDenmarkMEI
- 19Rasmus HøjlundDenmarkATA
- 5Rasmus KristensenDenmarkDEF
- 10Thomas JörgensenDenmarkMEI
- 8Victor FroholdtDenmarkMEI
Reservas
- 14Adam DaghimDenmarkMEI
- 1Andreas JungdalDenmarkGOL
- 70Andreas Skov OlsenDenmarkATA
- Anton GaaeiDenmarkDEF
- 22Filip JörgensenDenmarkGOL
- 9Kasper HöghDenmarkATA
- 4Lucas HøgsbergDenmarkDEF
- 2Mads BidstrupDenmarkMEI
- 30Mathias KvistgaardenDenmarkATA
- 25Victor NelssonDenmarkDEF
Confronto direto
3 confrontosPortugal 2Empates 01 Denmark
DenmarkPortugal24UEFA Nations League
PortugalDenmark32UEFA Nations League
DenmarkPortugal10UEFA Nations League
UEFA Nations League 2026 · classificação
| # | Time | J | V | E | D | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 3 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 4 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 5 |  Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 9 |
| 7 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 8 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 10 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 15 |  Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 16 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 17 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 18 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 19 |  England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 6 |
| 20 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 21 |  Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 22 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 23 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 24 |  Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 25 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 26 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 27 |  Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 28 |  Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 29 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 30 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 31 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 32 |  Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 33 |  Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 34 |  Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 35 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 36 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 37 |  Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 38 |  Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | 3 |
| 39 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 40 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 41 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 42 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 2 |
| 43 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | 2 |
| 44 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 45 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | 1 |
| 46 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 47 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 48 |  Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 49 |  North Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | 0 |
| 50 |  San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | 0 |
| 51 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
| 52 |  Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 53 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | 0 |
| 54 |  Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
The Denmark vs Portugal prediction for October 1, 2026 points to a very balanced UEFA Nations League match at Telia Parken in Copenhagen. Based on the odds, recent form and head-to-head record, Portugal is the slight favorite with a 35% win probability, but the draw is just as likely at 35%, while Denmark has a 30% chance.
Team Form
Denmark comes into this match with a mixed run: two wins, two draws and one loss in the last five games. They beat Wales 2-0 at home, lost 3-2 away to Norway, won 2-1 against Ukraine in a friendly, drew 0-0 with Congo DR and drew 1-1 away to the Czech Republic. The home side has been solid but not spectacular.
Portugal shows three wins, one draw and one loss in the same period. They won 2-1 away to Norway, beat Wales 1-0 at home, lost 1-0 to Spain in the World Cup, beat Croatia 2-1 and drew 0-0 away to Colombia. The away team arrives with a bit more consistency and a stronger overall record.
Head-to-Head Record
These two teams met twice in the 2025 UEFA Nations League. Denmark won 1-0 at home on March 20, and Portugal responded with a 3-2 home win on March 23. The head-to-head is perfectly even, with one home victory each and no draws. That pattern suggests home advantage could play a role again.
Win Probability: Denmark or Portugal?
We calculated the win probabilities using the bookmaker odds as a base and adjusting for form and H2H. The normalized implied odds gave Denmark 28.5%, the draw 37.2% and Portugal 34.2%. After factoring in Denmark's home edge and the recent H2H win in Copenhagen, we adjusted to:
- Denmark win: 30%
- Draw: 35%
- Portugal win: 35%
Portugal is the favorite to win, but the margins are very small. A draw is a strong possibility, and Denmark cannot be ruled out at home.
Odds & Match Prediction
The best available odds for this Denmark vs Portugal match are 3.00 for a home win, 2.30 for the draw and 2.50 for an away win. Bookmakers see the draw as the most likely single outcome, with Portugal slightly ahead of Denmark in the win market.
Our Denmark vs Portugal prediction is that this will be a tight, low-scoring affair. The stats point to a draw or a narrow Portugal win. For betting tips, the double chance X2 (Portugal or draw) offers good value, and under 2.5 goals is also worth considering based on the recent H2H and both teams' form.
Denmark vs Portugal – FAQ
Who will win Denmark vs Portugal?
Portugal has a 35% chance to win, the draw is at 35%, and Denmark has a 30% chance. It is a very close match, but Portugal enters as the slight favorite based on odds and recent form.
What is the win probability for Portugal?
Portugal has a 35% win probability. This number comes from the bookmaker odds (away win at 2.50) adjusted by the team's form and the even head-to-head record.
When is the Denmark vs Portugal match?
The match is on October 1, 2026, at 15:45 local time (UTC-3). It will be played at Telia Parken in Copenhagen, valid for the UEFA Nations League.
What are the odds for the match?
The best odds available are 3.00 for a Denmark win, 2.30 for the draw and 2.50 for a Portugal win. These odds reflect a very balanced contest.