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Independiente Del Valle - Deportes Tolima prediction 25/08/2026

Match info

Competição
Copa Libertadores · South America
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Independiente Del Valle

MacaraIndependiente Del Valle10DSerie A

Independiente Del ValleSD Aucas Quito21VSerie A

Gualaceo SCIndependiente Del Valle02VCup

Barcelona GuayaquilIndependiente Del Valle00ESerie A

Flamengo RJIndependiente Del Valle11ECopa Libertadores
Deportes Tolima

Rionegro AguilasDeportes Tolima21DPrimera A

Jaguares de CordobaDeportes Tolima32DPrimera A

Atletico Nacional MedellinDeportes Tolima00EPrimera A

Deportes TolimaBoyaca Chico00EPrimera A

Fortaleza ZipaquiraDeportes Tolima22EPrimera A

Confronto direto

6 confrontos
Independiente Del Valle 2Empates 22 Deportes Tolima

Independiente Del ValleDeportes Tolima31Copa Libertadores

Independiente Del ValleDeportes Tolima10Copa Libertadores

Deportes TolimaIndependiente Del Valle00Copa Libertadores

Deportes TolimaIndependiente Del Valle10Copa Libertadores

Deportes TolimaIndependiente Del Valle10Copa Libertadores

Independiente Del ValleDeportes Tolima22Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Independiente Rivadavia651015:616
2Flamengo RJ651014:216
3Cerro Porteno64116:213
4Universidad Catolica64118:413
5Independiente Del Valle641111:613
6Rosario Central64119:113
7LDU Quito64028:512
8Mirassol SP64027:412
9Corinthians SP63218:411
10Palmeiras SP632110:511
11Cruzeiro MG63218:311
12Coquimbo Unido63128:610
13CA Platense Buenos Aires63128:710
14Estudiantes La Plata62316:59
15UCV FC63037:119
16Lanus63033:79
17Deportes Tolima62227:68
18Fluminense62227:78
19Club Nacional62227:98
20Santa Fe62226:78
21Boca Juniors62136:57
22EDP Independiente Medellin62136:117
23Sporting Cristal62046:96
24Universitario61325:66
25Bolívar61236:85
26CD Junior FC61145:114
27Deportivo La Guaira60336:133
28Always Ready61057:93
29Barcelona Guayaquil61052:123
30CA Penarol Montevideo60334:83
31Cusco FC60154:121
32Club Libertad Asuncion60064:130

The Independiente Del Valle vs Deportes Tolima prediction for the Copa Libertadores match on Aug 26 points to a home win. Independiente Del Valle has a 66% chance of winning, according to our probability model. The game kicks off at 00:30 UTC at Estadio Banco Guayaquil in Quito, with referee Darío Herrera in charge.

Team Form

Independiente Del Valle comes into this match in excellent shape. Their last five results show four wins and one draw: a 3-2 away victory against Leones Del Norte, a 1-0 home win over Deportes Tolima, a 3-2 home success against Delfin SC, a 0-0 away draw with Deportes Tolima, and a 2-0 away win at LDU Quito. The team is scoring consistently and looks solid at home.

Deportes Tolima's recent form is much less convincing. In their last five matches they recorded only one win, alongside three draws and one defeat: a 0-0 home draw with Atletico Bucaramanga, a 1-0 away loss to Independiente Del Valle, a 0-0 away draw against Llaneros FC, a 0-0 home draw with Independiente Del Valle, and a 2-1 home win over Inter Bogota FC. The lack of goals is a concern, especially when playing away from home.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings between these sides, Independiente Del Valle has one win, Deportes Tolima has two wins, and there have been two draws. The most recent clash, on Aug 19, 2026, ended in a 1-0 home victory for Independiente Del Valle. The match before that, on Aug 12, 2026, finished 0-0. The head-to-head trend has shifted in favor of the home side, who also enjoy the altitude advantage in Quito.

League Table Positions

Independiente Del Valle sits 5th in the overall Copa Libertadores standings with 13 points from six matches (four wins, one draw, one defeat). At home, they are even stronger - ranked 2nd with a perfect record of three wins from three home games, scoring eight goals and conceding only two. Deportes Tolima does not appear in the top 12 of the table, indicating a lower position and a tougher campaign so far.

Win Probability: Independiente Del Valle or Deportes Tolima?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities: Independiente Del Valle has a 66% chance to win, the draw stands at 22%, and Deportes Tolima has a 12% chance. The bookmakers' odds heavily back the home side, and the recent performances reinforce that view. Independiente Del Valle's strong home form and Deportes Tolima's struggles on the road make the home win the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are 1.50 for an Independiente Del Valle win, 4.45 for the draw, and 8.14 for a Deportes Tolima victory. Bookmakers see Independiente Del Valle as the clear favorite. Taking all stats into account, our Independiente Del Valle vs Deportes Tolima prediction is a home win. The combination of current form, home strength, and the latest head-to-head result all point in that direction.

Independiente Del Valle vs Deportes Tolima – FAQ

Who will win Independiente Del Valle vs Deportes Tolima?
Independiente Del Valle is the most likely winner with a 66% probability. The draw has a 22% chance, while Deportes Tolima has a 12% chance. The home side's strong form and the altitude in Quito give them a clear edge.
What is the win probability for Independiente Del Valle?
Independiente Del Valle has a 66% chance to win the match. This number comes from normalizing the betting odds and adjusting for the team's excellent recent results and perfect home record in the competition.
When is the Independiente Del Valle vs Deportes Tolima match?
The match is on Aug 26, 2026, at 00:30 UTC. It is a Copa Libertadores fixture and will be played at Estadio Banco Guayaquil in Quito, South America.
What are the odds for the match?
The best odds available are 1.50 for an Independiente Del Valle win, 4.45 for a draw, and 8.14 for a Deportes Tolima win. These odds reflect the home team's status as the strong favorite.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Del Valle and Deportes Tolima?
In the last five meetings, Independiente Del Valle won one, Deportes Tolima won two, and two matches ended in draws. The most recent game, on Aug 19, 2026, was a 1-0 home win for Independiente Del Valle.