Fernando de la Mora - Deportivo Capiata prediction 09/09/2026

The Fernando de la Mora vs Deportivo Capiata prediction for the Segunda Division match on Sep 09, 2026, at 13:00 points to a tight contest. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Fernando de la Mora enters as a slight favorite with a 40% win probability. Deportivo Capiata has a 35% chance, while the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Fernando de la Mora comes into this match with mixed results. Their last five games show two draws, two losses, and one win: a 0-0 draw at Independiente FBC Campo Grande, a 1-1 home draw against Tacuary Asuncion, a 2-1 loss at Atletico Tembetary, a 2-1 home win over Club Doctor Benjamin Aceval, and a 2-0 loss at Deportivo Carapegua. They have struggled for consistency, scoring 4 goals and conceding 6 in that span.

Deportivo Capiata's recent form is also patchy. Their last five results are one win, one draw, and three losses: a 4-3 home win against 3 de Noviembre, a 2-1 loss at General Caballero JLM, a 0-0 home draw with Guairena FC, a 1-0 loss at Resistencia, and a 4-1 home loss to Sol de America Villa Elisa. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 10 in those matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides favors Deportivo Capiata. In their last five meetings, Deportivo Capiata has 3 wins, Fernando de la Mora has 1 win, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent clash on May 19, 2026, ended in a 2-1 home victory for Deportivo Capiata. Before that, Deportivo Capiata won 2-1 at home in September 2025, and the teams played a 0-0 draw in June 2025 when Fernando de la Mora hosted. Deportivo Capiata also won 1-0 at home in October 2021, while Fernando de la Mora won 1-0 at home in June 2021.

League Table Positions

In the overall Segunda Division standings, Deportivo Capiata sits 10th with 27 points from 22 matches (6 wins, 9 draws, 7 losses). Fernando de la Mora is 12th with 25 points (6 wins, 7 draws, 9 losses). The gap is just 2 points. At home, Deportivo Capiata has been strong, ranked 3rd in the home table with 21 points from 11 games. Fernando de la Mora's away form places them 8th in the away table with 14 points from 11 away matches.

Win Probability: Fernando de la Mora or Deportivo Capiata?

After analyzing the odds, form, H2H record, and standings, the win probability for this match is: Fernando de la Mora 40%, draw 25%, Deportivo Capiata 35%. The bookmakers' average odds (home 2.24, draw 2.23, away 3.49) were used as a base and adjusted for the away team's superior H2H record and stronger home form when they are the host. However, with Fernando de la Mora playing at home this time, they get a slight edge. The match is likely to be close, with a draw a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds show Fernando de la Mora as the favorite. The best home win odds are around 2.33, the draw is priced near 3.17, and an away win for Deportivo Capiata is as high as 3.60. Based on the stats, bookmakers see Fernando de la Mora as the most likely winner, but the odds also reflect how competitive this game could be. Our Fernando de la Mora vs Deportivo Capiata prediction is a low-scoring affair, with the home side having a narrow advantage. A 1-0 or 1-1 result looks probable.