Deportivo Carcha - Juventud Teculuteca prediction 07/10/2026

This Deportivo Carcha vs Juventud Teculuteca prediction looks at the Segunda Division match on October 7, 2026, at 18:00. Based on the odds and recent form, Juventud Teculuteca is the slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while Deportivo Carcha has a 30% chance and the draw stands at 30%.

Team Form

Deportivo Carcha comes into this match with a mixed run: W, L, L, D, W in their last five outings. At home, they beat Csd San Cristobal 3-0 on Sep 27, but lost 1-2 to Juventud Cachacera on Aug 30. Earlier in 2026, they drew 1-1 with CSD Chiquimulilla and lost 0-1 away to Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa. A 4-0 win over Chimaltenango FC in March shows they can be dangerous on their day.

Juventud Teculuteca’s recent form reads W, W, D, L. They won 3-1 away at Juventud Cachacera in January 2026 and crushed the same opponent 6-1 at home in September 2025. A 1-1 draw at Deportivo Sanarate in March 2025 and a 2-4 loss at Nueva Santa Rosa CDF in November 2024 round out the picture. The away side has been scoring freely, with 12 goals in those four matches.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between Deportivo Carcha and Juventud Teculuteca. This will be their first meeting, making form and odds the only reliable guides for this Deportivo Carcha vs Juventud Teculuteca prediction.

Win Probability: Deportivo Carcha or Juventud Teculuteca?

We calculated the win probability using the available odds and recent results. After normalizing the bookmaker margins and averaging two sets of 1X2 odds, the raw implied chances were around 31% for a home win, 32% for a draw, and 37% for an away win. Adjusting for current form – where Juventud Teculuteca has two wins and a draw in their last four, while Deportivo Carcha has two wins, a draw, and two losses in five – we shift the numbers slightly. The final probabilities are: Deportivo Carcha 30%, draw 30%, Juventud Teculuteca 40%. So, who will win? The numbers point to Juventud Teculuteca as the more likely winner, but the match is far from a sure thing.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds for this Segunda Division clash. One bookmaker lists home win at 3.20, draw at 2.30, away win at 2.70. Another has home win at 2.60, draw at 3.50, away win at 2.25. The differences reflect the tight nature of the contest. Our Deportivo Carcha vs Juventud Teculuteca prediction sides with the away team based on the stats, but the draw is a very real possibility. For betting tips, the value might lie in the draw or a low-scoring affair, given the lack of H2H history and the 30% draw probability.