Manta FC - Deportivo Cuenca prediction 24/10/2026

The Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca prediction for October 24, 2026, points to a tight Serie A clash in Ecuador. Deportivo Cuenca enters as the slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while Manta FC holds a 35% chance and the draw sits at 25%. The match kicks off at 13:30 local time, and all the key stats, head-to-head record, and odds are right here to help you decide who will win.

Team Form

Manta FC's recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in the last five matches. They beat Tecnico Universitario (1-0) and Orense SC (2-1) at home, drew 0-0 with SD Aucas Quito, and lost 4-2 away to Delfin SC. That home run gives them confidence, but the heavy away defeat is a concern.

Deportivo Cuenca comes into this game with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five. They beat Tecnico Universitario 2-1 at home, then drew 0-0 with Orense SC, 1-1 with Mushuc Runa, and 1-1 with LDU Quito, before falling 0-1 at home to Libertad Loja. The away form has been solid with three consecutive draws on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Deportivo Cuenca. In eight meetings, Deportivo Cuenca has won five times, Manta FC three, and there have been no draws. The last five encounters saw Deportivo Cuenca win four, including a 1-0 away victory in April 2026 and a 2-0 home win in May 2025. Manta FC's only recent success was a 2-1 away win in August 2026.

League Table Positions

Deportivo Cuenca sits 12th in the Serie A overall standings with 36 points from 30 matches (10 wins, 6 draws, 14 losses). Manta FC is outside the top 12, indicating a lower position. Deportivo Cuenca's away record is the 6th best in the league with 17 points from 15 away games, while Manta FC's home form does not rank in the top 8. The table gap gives Deportivo Cuenca a clear edge.

Win Probability: Manta FC or Deportivo Cuenca?

Based on the odds, form, head-to-head, and league positions, we calculate the win probability as follows: Deportivo Cuenca 40%, Manta FC 35%, draw 25%. The bookmakers' odds (2.62 home, 2.00 draw, 3.10 away) suggest the draw is the most likely single outcome, but the head-to-head dominance of Deportivo Cuenca (5 wins in 8 games) and their higher table position push their chances above Manta FC. Manta FC's recent home wins keep them competitive, but the overall picture points to an away win or a draw as the most realistic scenarios. So, Deportivo Cuenca is the more probable winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are 2.62 for a Manta FC win, 2.00 for the draw, and 3.10 for a Deportivo Cuenca victory. These numbers reflect a tight contest where the draw is priced as the favorite. Our Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca prediction, based on the stats, leans toward Deportivo Cuenca to win or the match to end level. Betting tips: the draw no bet on Deportivo Cuenca or under 2.5 goals could be worth considering given the recent low-scoring trend in this fixture.