Dimona - Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi prediction 23/09/2026

Our Dimona vs Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi prediction for this League Alef match on Sep 23 at 14:10 points to a home win. Dimona enters as the favorite with a 52% win probability, while the visitors have a 22% chance and the draw sits at 26%. The head-to-head record and recent form both back the hosts.

Team Form

Dimona are in strong shape with four wins in their last five matches. They beat Tzeirey Tira 1-0 away, Maccabi Yavne 1-0 at home, and Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem 2-0 on the road. A 4-1 loss at FC Jerusalem is the only recent blemish, but they bounced back with a 2-1 home win over Tzeirey Tira. That run gives them plenty of confidence.

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi are also unbeaten in five, with three wins and two draws. They cruised past Hapoel Azor 3-0 at home and won 2-1 at Maccabi Ironi Sderot. Draws against Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (1-1) and FC Holon Yermiyahu (0-0) show they can be tough to break down, but scoring away from home has been a challenge.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Dimona. In five previous meetings, Dimona have won three and drawn two. Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi have never beaten Dimona. The last match on Dec 12 ended 1-0 to Dimona at home. The most recent away fixture for Dimona at this opponent finished 2-2 back in April 2025. The overall goal trend is low-scoring, with three of the five matches having under 2.5 goals.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in Israel's League Alef. While exact table positions are not provided in the current data, the recent form suggests Dimona are likely in the upper part of the standings and Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi are also competitive. Dimona's home strength and the visitors' solid away form make this a tight contest on paper, but the historical edge belongs to the home side.

Win Probability: Dimona or Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi?

Based on the available odds, form, and head-to-head stats, we calculate the win probability as follows: Dimona 52%, draw 26%, Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi 22%. The odds imply a home win is the most likely outcome, and the H2H record of three Dimona wins and zero losses for the visitors reinforces that. Dimona's four wins in five matches give them a clear form edge, but the away team's unbeaten run keeps the draw probability relatively high. The question of who will win leans clearly toward Dimona.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds for this fixture. One bookmaker has Dimona at 2.50, the draw at 2.10, and an away win at 4.33. Another lists Dimona at 1.88, the draw at 3.15, and Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi at 3.70. The differences show some disagreement, but both sets make Dimona the favorite. Our betting tips align with the stats: a home win is the most probable match outcome. The low-scoring history also suggests under 2.5 goals could be worth a look. Based on the stats, Dimona are the more likely winners.