FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht prediction 11/09/2026

The FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht prediction for September 11, 2026, in the Netherlands 1 Eerste Divisie points to a tight contest. Based on recent form and head-to-head stats, FC Eindhoven has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Dordrecht has a 28% chance. The match kicks off at 18:00.

Team Form

FC Eindhoven come into this match with a poor run of results. Their last five matches show four losses and one win: L, L, L, W, L. The most recent was a 1-3 home defeat to Heracles Almelo on Aug 30. Before that, they lost 2-5 at Den Bosch and 2-3 at home to MVV Maastricht. The only bright spot was a 1-0 away win at Jong AZ Alkmaar on Aug 10.

Dordrecht's form is also weak. Their last five results are L, L, L, D, W. They suffered a heavy 3-6 home loss to Jong AZ Alkmaar on Sep 05, followed by a 1-6 defeat at Volendam. A 0-1 home loss to Roda JC Kerkrade and a 2-2 draw at RKC Waalwijk show defensive issues. Their only win in this stretch was a 2-1 home victory over Jong Ajax on Aug 07.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is very balanced. In 23 meetings, FC Eindhoven has 10 wins, Dordrecht has 7, and there have been 6 draws. The last five matches have been especially close. The most recent, on Dec 12, 2025, saw Dordrecht lose 3-4 at home to FC Eindhoven. Before that, on Sep 30, 2025, they drew 2-2. Three earlier meetings in 2024 and 2023 all ended in draws: 3-3, 0-0, and 1-1. This history suggests another close game is likely.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the current overall standings, which means they are both in the lower half of the 1 Eerste Divisie table. The available data shows Heracles Almelo leading with 15 points. FC Eindhoven and Dordrecht are not listed in the home or away top 8, confirming their struggles this season. Both sides need points to climb away from the bottom.

Win Probability: FC Eindhoven or Dordrecht?

Our calculated win probability for this match gives FC Eindhoven a 42% chance, the draw a 30% chance, and Dordrecht a 28% chance. This is based on the head-to-head record where FC Eindhoven has a slight edge (10 wins to 7), the fact that both teams are in poor form, and a small home advantage for FC Eindhoven. The high number of recent draws in this fixture also pushes the draw probability up. FC Eindhoven is more likely to win, but it is far from a sure thing.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available in the current data. Based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see this as a very open game. Our FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht prediction is a home win or draw, with a low-scoring match possible given both teams' defensive problems and the history of tight results. The betting tip is to consider the double chance for FC Eindhoven or the draw.