Al Karkh - Duhok prediction 13/09/2026

The Al Karkh vs Duhok prediction for September 13, 2026, points to an away win, with Duhok holding a 52% probability of taking all three points in this Stars League clash. Al Karkh enters the match as the underdog with a 25% win chance, while the draw sits at 23%. The game kicks off at 18:00, and the stats give Duhok a clear edge.

Team Form

Al Karkh is struggling badly. Their last five matches show four losses and one draw: a 3-2 defeat at Al Talaba, a 1-0 loss at Karbalaa, a 2-2 home draw with Al Kahrabaa, a 1-0 home loss to Erbil SC, and a 1-0 defeat at Al Julan. They have failed to win any of those games and scored just four goals while conceding eight.

Duhok is unbeaten in their last five, but they draw too often. Their recent results are four draws and one win: 1-1 at home with Ghaz Al Shamal, a 2-1 home win over Al Quwa Al Jawiya, 0-0 at Newroz SC, 1-1 at Al Naft, and a 3-3 home thriller against Al Talaba. They are hard to beat, but turning draws into wins is the challenge.

Head-to-Head Record

Duhok has dominated recent meetings. In the last five head-to-head matches, Duhok won four and one ended in a draw. The most recent game on March 14, 2026, saw Duhok win 1-0 at Al Karkh. Before that, Duhok won 3-2 away on September 27, 2025, and 4-2 away on July 3, 2025. Al Karkh's last positive result was a 0-0 home draw on May 11, 2023. The overall H2H record is 3 wins for Al Karkh, 1 draw, and 2 wins for Duhok, but the trend is firmly with the away side.

League Table Positions

In the Stars League standings, Duhok sits 9th with 8 points from 6 games (1 win, 5 draws, 0 losses). Al Karkh is not in the top 12 shown, which underlines their poor start. Duhok's away form is solid: 4th in the home table with 6 points from 4 home games. Al Karkh's recent home results include a draw and a loss, and they have struggled to score at home.

Win Probability: Al Karkh or Duhok?

Based on the available data, Duhok has a 52% chance to win this match. Al Karkh's win probability is 25%, and the draw is at 23%. The calculation uses recent form, the head-to-head record, and league positions. Duhok's unbeaten run and Al Karkh's four losses in five games heavily weight the percentages toward the away side. The head-to-head trend, with Duhok winning the last four encounters, further supports Duhok as the likely winner. Home advantage for Al Karkh is factored in, but their current form simply does not justify a higher chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available in the current data, but based on the stats, bookmakers would likely price Duhok as the favorite. The Al Karkh vs Duhok prediction is an away win, with the draw also a realistic outcome given Duhok's five draws in six league games this season. A bet on Duhok to win offers value based on the H2H dominance and Al Karkh's poor form. The total goals could be low, as Al Karkh struggles to score and Duhok's away games have been tight.