Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura - EBK prediction 03/10/2026

The Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura vs EBK prediction for October 3, 2026, points toward an away win in Finland's Kakkonen. EBK enters this match as the favorite with a 55% win probability, while the home side has a 25% chance and the draw sits at 20%. The match kicks off at 09:00 local time.

Team Form

Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura come into this game with a mixed run of results: L, L, W, W, L in their last five outings. Their most recent match was a 3-2 away loss to MuSA on Sep 26. Before that, they suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat at EBK on Sep 19. Home wins over GrIFK Grankulla (2-1) and MuSA (4-0) show they can be strong on their day, but consistency is a problem.

EBK's recent form reads D, W, D, D, L. They drew 1-1 at home against GrIFK Grankulla on Sep 26. The standout result in this run is the 4-0 home win over Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura on Sep 19. Three draws in five games suggest EBK are hard to beat, even if they don't always take all three points.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors EBK. In three previous meetings, EBK have won all three, with Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura yet to register a win or even a draw. The most recent clash was that 4-0 EBK home win on Sep 19, 2026. Earlier in the season, on Jul 11, EBK won 3-1 away at Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura. The first meeting on May 3 ended 3-1 to EBK at home. The aggregate score across these three games is 10-2 to EBK.

League Table Positions

Specific league table positions and points are not available in the current data set. However, the head-to-head dominance and recent form suggest EBK are the stronger side in Kakkonen this season. Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura will need a big improvement to close the gap shown in their previous meetings.

Win Probability: Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura or EBK?

Based on the available stats, EBK have a 55% chance to win this match. The draw is estimated at 20%, and a Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura win at 25%. This calculation uses the head-to-head record as the strongest indicator - EBK have won all three meetings by clear margins. Recent form also supports EBK as the more stable team, with only one loss in five compared to the home side's three defeats. Home advantage gives Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura a slightly better chance than their previous results suggest, but the gap in quality looks too wide to ignore. The conclusion is clear: EBK are the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not listed in the current data. Based on the stats, bookmakers would likely price EBK as favorites. The Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura vs EBK prediction is an away win. The head-to-head record of three EBK wins, including a 4-0 result just two weeks ago, makes it hard to back anything else. A bet on EBK to win looks the most solid betting tip for this Kakkonen fixture.