EC Guarani RS - Apafut Caxias Do Sul RS prediction 09/09/2026

EC Guarani RS vs APAFUT prediction for the Campeonato Gaucho. Serie A2 match on September 9, 2026 at 22:00. Based on recent form, head-to-head record and home advantage, EC Guarani RS has a 45% chance to win, the draw is at 30% and APAFUT has a 25% chance. This betting tip gives you all the numbers you need to make a smart choice.

Team Form

EC Guarani RS comes into this match with mixed results. Their last five games ended in a draw, a win, another draw and two losses. The most recent match was a 2-2 away draw against Gramadense RS on September 5. Before that, they beat Lajeadense RS 1-0 at home on September 1. The team scored 5 goals and conceded 9 in those five matches, which shows some defensive issues.

APAFUT's form is slightly more stable. They have one win, three draws and one loss in the last five games. They won 3-2 at home against Aimore RS on September 6, followed by a 1-1 home draw with Brasil de Pelotas RS on September 1. Over the five matches, APAFUT scored 6 goals and conceded 6, so they are balanced but not very sharp.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between EC Guarani RS and APAFUT is short but clear. They have met twice in this competition. EC Guarani RS won one match away (2-1 on October 5, 2025) and the other ended 0-0 at home on October 12, 2024. So EC Guarani RS has a slight edge with 1 win and 1 draw, no losses against APAFUT. This history gives the home side a psychological boost.

League Table Positions

Neither team is listed in the top 14 of the overall Campeonato Gaucho. Serie A2 standings, so direct comparison by points is not available. However, looking at recent performances, both teams are fighting for a better position and the match will be competitive. Home advantage often plays a key role in this league.

Win Probability: EC Guarani RS or APAFUT?

Who will win between EC Guarani RS and APAFUT? We calculated the win probability based on form, head-to-head and home factor. EC Guarani RS has a 45% chance of winning, the draw has a 30% probability, and APAFUT has a 25% chance. The home team's recent win and the unbeaten H2H record give them the edge, but APAFUT's consistency makes a draw quite likely. So the numbers point to a home win as the most probable outcome, but not by a large margin.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match are not available at the moment. Without odds to compare, we stick to the statistical analysis. Our EC Guarani RS vs APAFUT prediction is a home win with a 45% probability. The draw is a strong second option at 30%. If you are looking for betting tips, backing EC Guarani RS to win with a draw no bet or a double chance might be the safest approach. Keep in mind the h2h record: EC Guarani RS has never lost to APAFUT in two meetings. This is a solid foundation for the match prediction, but always check the lineups and any last-minute news before placing a bet.