Elversberg II - TSV Schott Mainz prediction 23/09/2026

Our Elversberg II vs TSV Schott Mainz prediction for the Oberliga match on Sep 23 at 14:30 is here. Based on the available data, Elversberg II enters this game as the favorite with a 52% win probability. The draw sits at 25%, while TSV Schott Mainz has a 23% chance of winning.

Team Form

Elversberg II comes into this match with a mixed run of results. Their last five matches show two draws, two losses, and one win (D, D, L, L, W). The most recent outing was a 0-0 home draw against Engers on Sep 19. Before that, they drew 1-1 away to Herta Wiesbach on Aug 8. Goals have been hard to come by, with only two scored in those last five games.

TSV Schott Mainz also shows inconsistent form with two wins and three losses in their last five (L, W, L, L, W). They suffered a heavy 0-5 home loss to Borussia Monchengladbach in the DFB Pokal on Aug 23. However, they did secure a 3-1 away win at Engers in the Oberliga on Aug 15. Their recent matches have been at a higher level, including Regionalliga games, which may give them a slight edge in experience despite the results.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is limited to one previous meeting. That match took place on Jul 27, 2019, in the Oberliga. TSV Schott Mainz hosted Elversberg II and lost 1-3. Elversberg II holds a 1-0 advantage in wins, with no draws between them. This historical data gives Elversberg II a psychological edge going into this fixture.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the provided overall Oberliga standings, which suggests they are currently lower in the table. The available home and away standings also do not list Elversberg II or TSV Schott Mainz among the top eight. This indicates both sides have had a slow start or are competing in a different phase of the league, making this a crucial match to climb the table.

Win Probability: Elversberg II or TSV Schott Mainz?

We calculate the win probability for this match based on form, head-to-head record, and the home advantage. Elversberg II has a 52% chance of winning. The draw has a 25% probability, and TSV Schott Mainz has a 23% chance. The home team gets the edge mainly due to their head-to-head win and the fact they are playing at home. TSV Schott Mainz's recent experience in higher divisions like the Regionalliga and DFB Pokal is a factor, but their heavy defeats and travel weigh against them. The most likely outcome is a narrow win for Elversberg II.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific odds for this match are not available in the data provided. Without bookmaker prices, our Elversberg II vs TSV Schott Mainz prediction relies purely on the statistical analysis. Elversberg II is the more probable winner, but the low-scoring form of both teams suggests a tight contest. A 1-0 or 2-1 home win fits the profile. The betting tip here is to look for the home win if the odds offer value, or consider the under 2.5 goals market given the recent lack of goals from Elversberg II.