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Erbil SC - Diyala FC prediction 08/09/2026

Match info

Competição
Stars League · Iraq
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Erbil SC

ZakhoErbil SC21DStars League

Erbil SCAl Mosul01DStars League

AjmanErbil SC54DAGCFF Champions League

Al Nafit MaysanErbil SC11EStars League

KarbalaaErbil SC03VStars League
Diyala FC

Diyala FCAl Nafit Maysan20VStars League

Al NaftDiyala FC20DStars League

Al Quwa Al JawiyaDiyala FC11EStars League

Al Gharraf FCDiyala FC13VStars League

Erbil SCDiyala FC20DStars League

Confronto direto

5 confrontos
Erbil SC 2Empates 21 Diyala FC

Erbil SCDiyala FC20Stars League

Erbil SCDiyala FC20Stars League

Erbil SCDiyala FC00Stars League

Diyala FCErbil SC11Stars League

Diyala FCErbil SC10Stars League

Stars League 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Al Karma1073017:724
2Al Naft1164113:522
3Newroz SC1063116:421
4Al Shorta Bagdad1155112:520
5Erbil SC1153314:718
6Al Zawraa1153315:918
7Al Julan1035210:914
8Al Talaba1135311:1414
9Al Quwa Al Jawiya1126314:1312
10Duhok1026214:1312
11Diyala FC1033415:1612
12Al Minaa1033410:1212
13Al Mosul1133511:1612
14Zakho113359:1512
15Ghaz Al Shamal102535:711
16Al Gharraf FC112456:1310
17Al Karkh1123614:199
18Al Kahrabaa101546:118
19Al Nafit Maysan101547:148
20Karbalaa101367:176

The Erbil SC vs Diyala FC prediction for September 8, 2026 points to a home win in the Iraq Stars League. Erbil SC enters this match as the clear favorite with a 58% win probability, while Diyala FC has only a 17% chance of pulling off an upset. The match kicks off at 15:45 local time, and all the stats - from recent form to head-to-head record - support a low-scoring home victory.

Team Form

Erbil SC is unbeaten in their last five matches, with three wins and two draws. They beat Al Minaa 2-0 and Al Kahrabaa 2-0 at home, and grabbed a 1-0 away win at Al Karkh. The defense has been rock-solid, conceding just one goal in five league games this season. Diyala FC's form is much shakier. They have one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five. A 2-1 home loss to Al Karma and a 2-1 defeat at Al Mosul show they struggle for consistency, especially on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is balanced. In four previous meetings, Erbil SC has one win, Diyala FC has one win, and two matches ended in draws. The most recent clash was a 2-0 home win for Erbil SC on March 23, 2026. Before that, they played a 0-0 draw on March 1, 2026. Diyala FC's only win came at home in May 2025, a 1-0 result. The H2H stats suggest tight, low-scoring games are the norm.

League Table Positions

Erbil SC sits 2nd in the Stars League overall standings with 11 points from 5 games, still unbeaten. They have scored 6 and conceded just 1. At home, they are also 2nd with 7 points from 3 matches. Diyala FC is not in the top 12 of the provided table, which highlights the gap between the two sides. Erbil SC's strong defensive record and high rank make them the logical pick for this Erbil SC vs Diyala FC prediction.

Win Probability: Erbil SC or Diyala FC?

Based on the odds, form, and league positions, here is the win probability breakdown: Erbil SC has a 58% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Diyala FC has a 17% chance. We calculated this by taking the inverse of the best available odds (1.95 for a home win, 2.20 for the draw, 5.75 for an away win), normalizing to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusting for Erbil SC's superior form and home advantage. Erbil SC is the clear favorite to win this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Erbil SC as the strong favorite. The best home win odds are 1.95, the draw is priced around 2.20, and an away win for Diyala FC is as high as 6.50. These betting tips reflect the gap in quality. Our Erbil SC vs Diyala FC prediction is a home win, likely with under 2.5 total goals, given Erbil SC's tight defense and the low-scoring history between these teams. A 1-0 or 2-0 correct score looks like a solid match outcome bet.

Erbil SC vs Diyala FC – FAQ

Who will win Erbil SC vs Diyala FC?
Erbil SC is the most likely winner with a 58% probability. The draw has a 25% chance, and Diyala FC has only a 17% chance of winning, based on current form and odds.
What is the win probability for Erbil SC?
Erbil SC has a 58% chance to win this match. This high probability comes from their unbeaten league record, strong home form, and the bookmakers' odds, which price them as clear favorites.
When is the Erbil SC vs Diyala FC match?
The match is on September 8, 2026, at 15:45 local time. It is a Stars League fixture in Iraq.
What are the odds for Erbil SC vs Diyala FC?
The best available odds are 1.95 for an Erbil SC win, 2.20 for the draw, and 6.50 for a Diyala FC away win. These odds confirm Erbil SC as the strong favorite.
What is the head-to-head record between Erbil SC and Diyala FC?
In four previous meetings, Erbil SC has 1 win, Diyala FC has 1 win, and there have been 2 draws. The most recent match was a 2-0 home win for Erbil SC in March 2026.