Etar Veliko Tarnovo - Spartak Varna prediction 19/10/2026

Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Spartak Varna prediction for the Bulgaria Cup match on October 19, 2026, at 13:00. Based on the latest odds and recent form, Spartak Varna is the slight favorite with a 35% chance to win, while Etar Veliko Tarnovo has a 32% probability and the draw stands at 33%. This betting preview covers team form, head-to-head record, win probability, and the best odds for the match.

Team Form

Etar Veliko Tarnovo comes into this game with mixed results. In the last five matches, they have two wins, one draw, and two losses. They beat Fratria 2-0 at home and won 3-2 away against Chernomorets Balchik in the Cup. However, they lost 2-4 at home to Chernomorets Burgas and 1-4 away to Hebar Pazardzhik. A 0-0 draw with Ludogorets Razgrad II shows some defensive solidity but inconsistency overall.

Spartak Varna has been hard to beat lately, with only one loss in their last five games. They won 1-0 away at Botev Vratsa, drew 0-0 with Slavia Sofia, 1-1 with CSKA Sofia, and 1-1 with Ludogorets Razgrad. The only defeat was a 0-1 home loss to Lokomotiv Sofia. Their defense has been solid, conceding just two goals in those five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last three meetings, Spartak Varna has the edge with two wins to Etar Veliko Tarnovo's one. The most recent clash was in the B PFG on May 1, 2022, where Spartak Varna won 2-1 away. Before that, Spartak Varna won 3-1 at home in October 2021. Etar Veliko Tarnovo's only win came in a friendly in July 2021, a 1-0 home victory. There have been no draws between these sides in recent history.

Win Probability: Etar Veliko Tarnovo or Spartak Varna?

After analyzing the odds, form, and head-to-head stats, the win probability for this match is: Etar Veliko Tarnovo 32%, draw 33%, Spartak Varna 35%. The bookmakers' odds were used as the base, with the average implied probabilities normalized to remove the margin. Spartak Varna's slightly better recent form and superior H2H record give them a narrow edge. Home advantage for Etar Veliko Tarnovo is not enough to make them the favorite. The draw is a very realistic outcome given both teams' recent results.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this Bulgaria Cup fixture are around 2.55 for an Etar Veliko Tarnovo win, 2.22 for the draw, and 2.82 for a Spartak Varna victory. Bookmakers see this as a very open match, with no clear favorite. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow win for Spartak Varna or a draw. A 1-1 or 0-1 scoreline fits the data. For betting tips, the draw no bet on Spartak Varna or under 2.5 goals could offer value, considering both teams' recent low-scoring trends.