Fajr Sepasi - Aluminium Arak prediction 13/10/2026

The Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak prediction for October 13, 2026, in the Iran Pro League points to a tight contest where the away side holds a slight edge. Aluminium Arak enters this match as the favorite with a 48% win probability, while Fajr Sepasi has a 27% chance and the draw sits at 25%. The match kicks off at 10:30 local time.

Team Form

Fajr Sepasi comes into this match with a poor run of results. Their last five league games show two losses, two draws, and just one win (L, L, D, D, W). A heavy 6-1 defeat away to Foolad Mobarakeh Sepahan on Oct 8 highlights defensive issues. Before that, they lost 1-0 at Foolad Khuzestan and drew 1-1 at home with Mes Shahre Babak. The only bright spot was a 1-0 win at Malavan on Aug 24.

Aluminium Arak is unbeaten in their last five matches, with two wins and three draws (D, D, W, D, W). They drew 1-1 at home with Malavan on Oct 8 and played a 0-0 draw against Esteghlal Tehran on Sep 6. Away from home, they beat Gol Gohar 2-0 and Shams Azar Qazvin 2-1, showing strong road form.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams favors Aluminium Arak. In 12 previous meetings, Aluminium Arak has 4 wins, Fajr Sepasi has 2 wins, and there have been 6 draws. The most recent clash on Nov 29, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw when Aluminium Arak hosted Fajr Sepasi. Earlier Pro League and Azadegan League encounters have often been low-scoring, with Aluminium Arak winning 1-0 twice in past meetings.

League Table Positions

Aluminium Arak sits 5th in the Pro League overall standings with 13 points from 7 matches (3 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses). They have scored 9 goals and conceded only 4. Fajr Sepasi is not listed in the top 12 of the overall table, indicating a lower position. In the away standings, Aluminium Arak is ranked 1st with a perfect record of 3 wins from 3 away games, scoring 6 and conceding just 1. This away strength is a key factor in the Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak prediction.

Win Probability: Fajr Sepasi or Aluminium Arak?

Based on the available odds, form, and league positions, we calculate the win probability as follows: Aluminium Arak has a 48% chance to win, the draw has a 25% chance, and Fajr Sepasi has a 27% chance. The odds from bookmakers show Aluminium Arak as the favorite, with average odds around 4.13 for an away win, while Fajr Sepasi is at 2.81 and the draw at 1.86. The inverse of these odds, normalized to remove the margin, gives Aluminium Arak a clear advantage. Their unbeaten away record and Fajr Sepasi's recent defensive struggles reinforce this probability. The question of who will win this match leans toward Aluminium Arak, but the draw is also a realistic outcome given the history between these sides.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a competitive match. The best available odds are: Fajr Sepasi win at 2.82, draw at 1.82, and Aluminium Arak win at 4.05. These odds imply a tight game with a slight lean toward the home side in the 1X2 market, but the away team's form and head-to-head record suggest value on Aluminium Arak. Our Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak prediction is an away win or draw for Aluminium Arak, with under 2.5 total goals likely based on the low-scoring history and solid defenses. Betting tips for this match point to the double chance X2 as a safe option.