Mardinspor - Fatih Karagumruk prediction 15/10/2026

Our Mardinspor vs Fatih Karagumruk prediction for the 1st League match on Oct 15, 2026, at 11:00, points to a home win. Based on the odds, team form and league table, Mardinspor has a 50% chance of winning, while the draw sits at 28% and Fatih Karagumruk at 22%.

Team Form

Mardinspor come into this match with a mixed recent record: two wins, two losses and one draw in their last five games. At home, they have played four matches, winning two, drawing one and losing one, scoring four goals and conceding only two. Their last home result was a 1-0 win against Bodrumspor on Sep 7.

Fatih Karagumruk have drawn three of their last five matches, with one win and one loss. Away from home, they are yet to win this season, drawing all four of their away games. Their most recent away match ended in a 2-0 win at Erokspor, but that was a rare victory on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Mardinspor and Fatih Karagumruk. This will be the first meeting between the two sides, so form and league positions carry extra weight in our Mardinspor vs Fatih Karagumruk prediction.

League Table Positions

Mardinspor are 6th in the 1st League with 15 points from nine games (4 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 11 goals and conceded 6. Fatih Karagumruk sit 10th with 13 points (3 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses), scoring 13 and conceding 12. At home, Mardinspor rank 8th with 7 points from four matches, while Fatih Karagumruk’s away record shows four draws from four games, leaving them without an away win.

Win Probability: Mardinspor or Fatih Karagumruk?

After analyzing the odds, form and standings, we calculate the win probability as follows: Mardinspor 50%, draw 28%, Fatih Karagumruk 22%. The home side’s solid defensive record at home and Fatih Karagumruk’s tendency to draw on the road make Mardinspor the favorite. The odds imply a 47% chance for a home win, but we adjust slightly upward due to the visitors’ lack of away wins.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer odds around 2.00 for a Mardinspor win, 3.50 for the draw and 3.70 for a Fatih Karagumruk victory. These betting tips reflect the home advantage and league positions. Our Mardinspor vs Fatih Karagumruk prediction is a home win, but a draw cannot be ruled out given Fatih Karagumruk’s four away draws. For bettors, the home win odds present value, while the draw is a safer hedge.