Shimshon Tel Aviv - FC Holon Yermiyahu prediction 17/09/2026

The Shimshon Tel Aviv vs FC Holon Yermiyahu prediction for the League Alef match on Sep 17 at 15:00 points to a home win. Based on the odds, head-to-head record, and recent form, Shimshon Tel Aviv has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and FC Holon Yermiyahu has a 22% chance.

Team Form

Shimshon Tel Aviv come into this match with a mixed run in their last five games: D, W, W, D, L. Their most recent result was a 2-2 draw away at Hapoel Hadera on Sep 09. Before that, they beat Irony Bet Shemesh 2-0 at home on Sep 03. They have shown they can score at home, with wins over Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon (4-2) and a draw with MK Kfar Saba 1928 (0-0) earlier in the year.

FC Holon Yermiyahu's last five results read W, D, D, D, W. They won 1-0 at home against Hapoel Marmorek on Sep 09 and drew 0-0 with Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon on Sep 04. Away from home, their recent form includes a 1-1 draw at Maccabi Yavne, showing they can be tough to break down on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The H2H record between these two teams shows Shimshon Tel Aviv with 5 wins, FC Holon Yermiyahu with 3 wins, and 1 draw. The last meeting was on Feb 05, 2026, when Shimshon Tel Aviv won 2-0 at home. In the previous clash on Oct 05, 2025, Shimshon Tel Aviv won 4-2 away. FC Holon Yermiyahu's last win in this fixture was back in Sep 2023, a 1-0 away victory. Overall, Shimshon Tel Aviv have won three of the last four meetings.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in League Alef in Israel. While exact points and positions are not available in the current data, the head-to-head dominance and recent home form suggest Shimshon Tel Aviv may hold a slight edge in the standings. The home advantage in this matchup has historically been a factor, with the home side winning the last two encounters.

Win Probability: Shimshon Tel Aviv or FC Holon Yermiyahu?

After analyzing the odds, form, and H2H record, the win probability for this match is calculated as follows: Shimshon Tel Aviv has a 52% chance to win, a draw has a 26% chance, and FC Holon Yermiyahu has a 22% chance. The odds from bookmakers show Shimshon Tel Aviv as the favorite, with the best home win price around 1.87. The inverse of the odds, adjusted for the bookmaker margin, gives a base probability that is then fine-tuned using the H2H advantage (5 wins for Shimshon Tel Aviv) and the home team's slightly better scoring form. FC Holon Yermiyahu's three recent draws also increase the draw probability. The conclusion is clear: Shimshon Tel Aviv is more likely to win, but a draw is a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this League Alef match show Shimshon Tel Aviv as the favorite. The 1X2 market prices range from 1.87 to 1.98 for a home win, with the draw between 2.05 and 3.50, and an away win for FC Holon Yermiyahu between 3.78 and 4.20. These betting tips are based on the stats: bookmakers see Shimshon Tel Aviv as the favorite, and the H2H record backs that up. Our match prediction is a home win for Shimshon Tel Aviv, but with a note of caution given FC Holon Yermiyahu's ability to grind out draws.