FCV Farul Constanta - UTA Arad prediction 11/09/2026

FCV Farul Constanta vs UTA Arad prediction for the Liga I match on September 11, 2026, at 15:00. Based on the stats, FCV Farul Constanta has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and UTA Arad has a 23% chance. The bookmakers see this as a tight match, and the head-to-head record backs that up with a lot of draws.

Team Form

FCV Farul Constanta come into this match with a run of draws. Their last five results are D, D, D, L, D. They have drawn four of their last five Liga I matches, including a 0-0 at CFR Cluj and a 1-1 at Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. The only loss was a 1-0 cup defeat at FC Bihor Oradea. They are hard to beat but struggle to turn draws into wins.

UTA Arad have been in strong form with three wins in their last five. Their recent results are W, W, W, D, L. They beat Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc 5-1 at home, won 3-0 at CS Minerul Lupeni in the cup, and pulled off an impressive 3-1 win at FCSB. The only setback was a 2-1 loss at Universitatea Cluj.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between FCV Farul Constanta and UTA Arad is very balanced. In the last 20 meetings, FCV Farul Constanta won 3, UTA Arad won 7, and there were 10 draws. The last five matches show this trend clearly: a 0-0 draw in April 2026, a 1-1 draw in December 2025, a 2-1 win for UTA Arad in August 2025, a 2-1 win for UTA Arad in May 2025, and a 1-1 draw in January 2025. UTA Arad have had the upper hand recently with two wins in the last five, but draws dominate the overall history.

League Table Positions

In the Liga I overall standings, FCV Farul Constanta sit 5th with 11 points from 8 matches (2 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 10 goals and conceded 8. UTA Arad are not in the top 12 of the provided overall table, but their away form is not listed in the top 8 either. FCV Farul Constanta's home form is not in the top 8 home table, but their away record shows 5th place with 4 points from 5 away games (0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss). This suggests FCV Farul Constanta are solid defensively but lack a cutting edge.

Win Probability: FCV Farul Constanta or UTA Arad?

The win probability for this match is calculated from the odds, recent form, and head-to-head stats. The average odds are around 2.28 for a home win, 2.37 for the draw, and 3.15 for an away win. Removing the bookmaker margin gives a base probability of roughly 40% for FCV Farul Constanta, 38% for the draw, and 22% for UTA Arad. Adjusting for FCV Farul Constanta's home advantage and UTA Arad's better recent form, the final probabilities are: FCV Farul Constanta win 42%, draw 35%, UTA Arad win 23%. The data points to a low-scoring match where a draw is a very real possibility, but FCV Farul Constanta have a slight edge as the home side.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for the FCV Farul Constanta vs UTA Arad match show a home win priced between 2.25 and 2.34, a draw between 2.08 and 2.94, and an away win between 3.05 and 3.20. Bookmakers see FCV Farul Constanta as the favorite, but the odds on the draw are notably short, reflecting the high number of draws in the head-to-head record and FCV Farul Constanta's recent form. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a low-scoring draw or a narrow home win. Our FCV Farul Constanta vs UTA Arad prediction is under 2.5 goals, with a draw being a strong betting tip.