Fernando de la Mora - General Caballero JLM prediction 05/10/2026

Fernando de la Mora vs General Caballero JLM prediction for October 5, 2026 in the Paraguayan Segunda Division. Kick-off is at 19:30 local time. Based on form, head-to-head and league positions, Fernando de la Mora has a 40% win probability, the draw is 30% and General Caballero JLM also 30%. The home side looks slightly more likely to win, despite the visitors' higher league standing.

Team Form

Fernando de la Mora come into this match with three wins, one draw and one loss in their last five games (W W L W D). At home they have been solid, winning their last two at this stadium - 2-1 against Resistencia and 1-0 against Deportivo Capiata. They scored in all those matches and will be confident.

General Caballero JLM's recent form is less convincing: two losses, two wins and one draw (L L W W D). They lost their last away match 3-2 at Paraguari AC and also fell 3-1 at home to 3 de Noviembre. Their only away win in this period was a 3-0 victory at Guairena FC.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only once before, on June 27, 2026. In that Segunda Division clash, Fernando de la Mora won 3-2 away at General Caballero JLM. The head-to-head record stands at one win for Fernando de la Mora, no draws and no wins for General Caballero JLM.

League Table Positions

General Caballero JLM sit 2nd in the overall standings with 50 points from 26 matches (15 wins, 5 draws, 6 losses). They are strong at home but rank 5th in the away table with 19 points from 13 trips. Fernando de la Mora are 9th overall with 34 points (9 wins, 7 draws, 10 losses). Their away record is 8th in the division with 17 points, but at home they have been improving and have a positive recent sequence.

Win Probability: Fernando de la Mora or General Caballero JLM?

The odds implied probabilities average around 25% for a home win, 34% for a draw and 41% for an away win, reflecting General Caballero JLM's higher league position. However, the single head-to-head match went to Fernando de la Mora, and their recent home form is strong. Adjusting for these factors, we calculate Fernando de la Mora win probability at 40%, the draw at 30% and General Caballero JLM at 30%. The home advantage and the 3-2 win in the only previous meeting tip the balance toward the hosts.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers disagree on this one. Some offer odds of 3.80 for a Fernando de la Mora win, 2.15 for the draw and 2.48 for General Caballero JLM. Other books quote 3.25, 3.40 and 1.91. The variation shows the difficulty of calling this match. Our prediction is based on stats: Fernando de la Mora's home form and the head-to-head edge make a home win or draw the most likely outcomes. A bet on 'Double Chance 1X' could be the safest approach.