Fethiyespor - Karacabey Birlikspor prediction 03/10/2026

Fethiyespor vs Karacabey Birlikspor prediction for the 2 Lig match on October 3, 2026, at 13:00. Based on recent form and head-to-head stats, Fethiyespor is the favorite with a 45% win probability. The draw sits at 30%, while Karacabey Birlikspor has a 25% chance to win.

Team Form

Fethiyespor's last five matches: W, D, L, D, W. They beat Serik Belediyespor 1-0 away and drew 1-1 at home against 12 Bingolspor. A 3-1 loss at Ankara Demirspor was followed by two draws and a win in earlier fixtures. The home side shows mixed results but remains competitive.

Karacabey Birlikspor's recent away form: L, W, L, D, D. They lost 4-1 at home to Ankaragucu but won 1-0 at Inegolspor. Earlier, a 1-0 loss to Bucaspor 1928, a 2-2 draw at Beykoz Anadoluspor, and a 3-3 home draw with Ankaraspor. The visitors struggle for consistency, especially on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice in the 2 Lig. Fethiyespor won 2-0 at home on March 15, 2023. Karacabey Birlikspor won 2-1 at home on September 18, 2022. Each side has one win, both at home, with no draws. The head-to-head suggests home advantage plays a key role.

League Table Positions

Neither Fethiyespor nor Karacabey Birlikspor appears in the top 12 of the overall 2 Lig standings. The table is led by Sakaryaspor with 12 points from 4 games. The missing positions indicate both teams are in the lower half, making this a clash between two sides looking to climb.

Win Probability: Fethiyespor or Karacabey Birlikspor?

After analyzing odds, form, and H2H, we calculate the chances as follows: Fethiyespor win 45%, draw 30%, Karacabey Birlikspor win 25%. The odds implied a tight contest, but Fethiyespor's better recent results and the historical home edge tip the balance. The home team has a clear advantage, though a draw remains a realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' average odds: Fethiyespor 2.44, draw 2.36, Karacabey Birlikspor 3.57. The market sees the draw as the most likely single result, but our stats-based prediction favors a Fethiyespor win. Based on the numbers, the best betting tip is to back the home side, but with caution given the draw odds. Our final Fethiyespor vs Karacabey Birlikspor prediction: Fethiyespor to win.