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Lazio - Genoa prediction 30/08/2026

Italy · Serie A·
LazioLazioVVVEV
Fim de jogo
1:0
GenoaGenoaDVDDV

Match info

Competição
Serie A · Italy
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Lazio

JuventusLazio03VSerie A

LazioMonza31VSerie A

VeneziaLazio02VSerie A

LazioAC Milan22ESerie A

UdineseLazio12VSerie A
Genoa

AS RomaGenoa20DSerie A

GenoaFiorentina21VSerie A

Rapid BucurestiGenoa20DFriendly Clubs

ParmaGenoa21DSerie A

GenoaSudtirol10VCup

Confronto direto

25 confrontos
Lazio 18Empates 34 Genoa

LazioGenoa10Serie A

LazioGenoa32Serie A

GenoaLazio03Serie A

GenoaLazio02Serie A

LazioGenoa30Serie A

LazioGenoa10Cup

LazioGenoa01Serie A

GenoaLazio41Friendly Clubs

GenoaLazio14Serie A

GenoaLazio14Serie A

Serie A 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Inter761021:919
2Lazio761014:419
3AS Roma752016:317
4AC Milan743014:715
5Como 1907742112:714
6Frosinone741213:913
7Torino841313:1113
8Cagliari74126:713
9Juventus73229:811
10Napoli731310:710
11Atalanta730410:119
12Lecce73049:129
13Sassuolo722312:148
14Monza821515:187
15Bologna71246:105
16Udinese71159:164
17Genoa71155:134
18Fiorentina71158:174
19Parma71154:134
20Venezia71066:163

Lazio vs Genoa prediction: the Serie A match on Aug 30, 2026, at 18:45 in Stadio Olimpico, Roma, has Lazio as the clear favorite. Based on odds, form, and head-to-head stats, Lazio holds a 55% win probability, while the draw sits at 25% and Genoa at 20%.

Team Form

Lazio comes into this match with strong recent results: four wins in the last five games (W, L, W, W, W). Their most recent Serie A outing was a 1-0 away win at Bologna on Aug 24. The only setback was a 0-2 home loss to Mantova in the Cup, but friendly wins against Frosinone (2-1), Ostia Mare Lidocalcio (4-0), and Ascoli (2-1) show good scoring form.

Genoa's form is mixed: two wins, three losses in the last five (L, W, L, L, W). They lost 0-2 at home to Napoli in Serie A, then beat Ascoli 4-1 in the Cup. Friendly results include a heavy 1-10 defeat to Bournemouth and a 1-0 win at Leicester City. Defensive issues are evident, especially away from home.

Head-to-Head Record

Lazio dominates this fixture historically. In the overall H2H, Lazio has 17 wins, Genoa 4, and 3 draws. The last five meetings all ended in Lazio victories: 3-2 (Jan 2026), 3-0 (Sep 2025), 2-0 (Apr 2025), 3-0 (Oct 2024), and 1-0 in the Cup (Dec 2023). Genoa has not beaten Lazio in any of those matches, and Lazio has kept three clean sheets.

League Table Positions

After one matchday, Lazio sits 10th in Serie A with 3 points (1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses, 1 goal scored, 0 conceded). Genoa is outside the top 12, having lost their only league game 0-2 at home to Napoli, leaving them with 0 points. The early table suggests Lazio is in a better position, though only one game has been played.

Win Probability: Lazio or Genoa?

The bookmakers' odds imply a 44% chance for a Lazio win, 32% for the draw, and 24% for Genoa. Adjusting for Lazio's superior form, the dominant H2H record, and home advantage at Stadio Olimpico, the real probabilities shift to 55% for Lazio, 25% for the draw, and 20% for Genoa. Lazio is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Pre-match odds from selected bookmakers show Lazio at 2.23, the draw at 3.08, and Genoa at 4.12. Other books offer similar lines, with home odds as low as 2.05. Based on the stats, Lazio is the predicted winner. The betting tips point to a home victory, but the draw odds also offer value given Genoa's occasional resilience. A correct score prediction of 2-0 or 2-1 for Lazio aligns with the data.

Lazio vs Genoa – FAQ

Who will win Lazio vs Genoa?
Lazio is the favorite with a 55% win probability. The draw has a 25% chance, and Genoa has a 20% chance, according to our analysis based on odds, team form, and head-to-head record.
What is the win probability for Lazio?
Lazio has a 55% chance to win this match. This is adjusted from the bookmakers' implied 44% after factoring in Lazio's strong recent form and a perfect record in the last five H2H meetings.
When is the Lazio vs Genoa match?
The match is on Aug 30, 2026, at 18:45 local time. It will be played at Stadio Olimpico in Roma, Italy, as part of the Serie A competition.
What are the odds for the match?
One bookmaker offers odds of 2.23 for a Lazio win, 3.08 for the draw, and 4.12 for a Genoa win. Other bookmakers have similar lines, with home odds as low as 2.05.
What is the head-to-head record between Lazio and Genoa?
Lazio has won 17 of the 24 head-to-head matches, with 3 draws and 4 Genoa wins. Lazio has won all of the last five meetings, including a 3-0 and a 2-0 victory in the most recent encounters.