Germany Women - Japan Women prediction 13/10/2026

Our Germany Women vs Japan Women prediction for the Friendly International Women match on October 13, 2026, at 12:45 points to a home win. Germany Women enters this game as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability, while Japan Women has a 20% chance and the draw sits at 25%. Below we break down the team form, head-to-head record, and the latest odds to give you the best betting tips.

Team Form

Germany Women comes into this match in excellent shape. Their last five results show four wins and one draw: a 4-2 home victory against Australia Women, a 2-0 away win at Slovenia Women, a 2-0 home win over Norway Women, a 0-0 draw away to Austria Women, and a dominant 5-1 home win against Austria Women. That is 13 goals scored and only 3 conceded in those five games.

Japan Women's recent form is more mixed. They have three wins and two losses in their last five matches. They beat Haiti Women 5-1 away, lost 0-1 at home to South Africa Women, thrashed South Africa Women 5-0 at home, lost 0-3 away to USA Women, and won 1-0 away against USA Women. The inconsistency, especially the two losses to USA Women and the home defeat to South Africa, is a concern ahead of facing a strong German side.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Germany Women and Japan Women is very limited. They have met only once before, in a Friendly International Women match on April 9, 2019. That game ended in a 2-2 draw. With just one past meeting, there is not much historical data to rely on, but it shows Japan Women can compete with the Germans.

League Table Positions

This is a friendly match, so there are no league table positions or points to compare. Both teams will use this game to test tactics and give playing time to their squads, but Germany Women's superior recent results in World Cup Qualification Women and friendlies give them a clear edge in confidence.

Win Probability: Germany Women or Japan Women?

Based on the available odds, team form, and the home advantage, we calculate the win probability as follows: Germany Women has a 55% chance to win, the draw has a 25% probability, and Japan Women has a 20% chance. The odds imply a home win probability around 50-55% after removing the bookmaker margin, and Germany Women's strong recent form - four wins in five - supports that. Japan Women's inconsistent results and the fact they are playing away reduce their chances. The most likely match outcome is a Germany Women victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Germany Women as the favorite. The best available odds for a home win are around 1.80, while the draw is priced at roughly 3.78 and an away win for Japan Women at about 4.03. These Germany Women vs Japan Women odds confirm the gap between the sides. Our final Germany Women vs Japan Women prediction is a home win. The stats point to Germany Women's solid defense and high-scoring attack being too much for Japan Women. For betting tips, the home win market offers value, and given Germany Women's recent scoring record, the over on total goals could also be worth a look.