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Malta - Gibraltar prediction 01/10/2026

Match info

Competição
UEFA Nations League · Europe
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Malta

MaltaAndorra10VUEFA Nations League

MaltaGibraltar11EUEFA Nations League

MaltaLiechtenstein20VFriendly International

AndorraMalta12VUEFA Nations League

AzerbaijanMalta02VFriendly International
Gibraltar

LiechtensteinGibraltar02VFriendly International

MaltaGibraltar11EUEFA Nations League

GibraltarAndorra00EUEFA Nations League

GibraltarSao Tome and Principe00EFriendly International

GibraltarCayman Islands41VFriendly International

Confronto direto

3 confrontos
Malta 2Empates 10 Gibraltar

MaltaGibraltar11UEFA Nations League

MaltaGibraltar10Friendly International

MaltaGibraltar20Friendly International

UEFA Nations League 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Portugal44009:412
2Montenegro43107:410
3France43107:210
4Sweden43107:310
5Switzerland33008:19
6Spain330010:49
7Netherlands42207:58
8Northern Ireland42204:08
9Austria42209:58
10Bosnia-Herzegovina42206:38
11Greece42205:38
12Finland32109:17
13Malta32104:27
14Iceland32107:17
15Slovakia32105:27
16Cyprus42115:37
17Italy42118:57
18Hungary42113:27
19England320111:36
20Denmark42027:76
21Albania32016:26
22Belgium42026:56
23Azerbaijan31202:15
24Estonia31202:15
25Kosovo41213:45
26Germany41213:25
27Ireland41216:45
28Slovenia31113:24
29Lithuania31113:24
30Faroe Islands40405:54
31Armenia41124:54
32Belarus31114:24
33Scotland31112:34
34Moldova31113:44
35Poland41127:44
36Ukraine41122:54
37Luxembourg31022:53
38Croatia31023:123
39Wales41032:53
40Norway41036:83
41Gibraltar20201:12
42Kazakhstan40225:72
43Georgia40220:22
44Israel40222:72
45Liechtenstein20110:21
46Andorra30121:31
47Latvia40132:61
48Bulgaria30121:51
49North Macedonia30030:70
50San Marino30030:140
51Serbia40043:80
52Czech Republic30032:70
53Romania40043:130
54Turkey40042:110

Malta vs Gibraltar prediction for the UEFA Nations League match on October 1, 2026. Malta is the clear favorite with a 60% win probability, while Gibraltar has a 10% chance. The match kicks off at 15:45 local time at Ta Qali National Stadium in Attard.

Team Form

Malta comes into this match with three wins in their last five games. They beat Liechtenstein 2-0, Andorra 2-1, and Azerbaijan 2-0. The two losses were against Slovakia (1-2) and Luxembourg (0-3). The team has scored 7 goals and conceded 6 in that period.

Gibraltar's recent form shows two draws and two wins in their last five. They drew 0-0 with Andorra and Sao Tome and Principe, then beat Cayman Islands 4-1 and British Virgin Islands 4-0. Their only loss was a 0-1 defeat to Latvia. Gibraltar scored 8 goals and conceded 2 in those five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

Malta and Gibraltar have met twice before, both in Friendly International matches. Malta won both games: 1-0 on September 6, 2023, and 2-0 on October 7, 2020. Gibraltar has never scored against Malta. The head-to-head clearly favors the home side.

League Table Positions

Neither Malta nor Gibraltar appear in the top positions of the UEFA Nations League overall standings. The available table data shows teams like Montenegro, Greece, and France leading, but these two sides are in lower divisions. Home advantage and recent form give Malta the edge in this matchup.

Win Probability: Malta or Gibraltar?

Based on the odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Malta has a 60% chance of winning. The draw probability is 30%, and Gibraltar has a 10% chance. Bookmakers heavily favor Malta, with average home win odds around 1.28. The H2H record (2-0 for Malta) and the fact that Gibraltar has never scored against Malta support this. Malta's home form and Gibraltar's struggle to score against stronger opponents make a home win the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best odds for a Malta win are 1.30, while a draw pays 5.76 and a Gibraltar win offers 13.50. These numbers show bookmakers see Malta as the strong favorite. Our Malta vs Gibraltar prediction is a home win, with a possible correct score of 2-0. The betting tips point to under 2.5 goals, as Gibraltar rarely scores away and Malta's attack is not prolific. Based on the stats, Malta should control the game and secure three points.

Malta vs Gibraltar – FAQ

Who will win Malta vs Gibraltar?
Malta is the favorite with a 60% win probability. The draw has a 30% chance, and Gibraltar has only a 10% chance. This is based on odds, head-to-head record, and recent form.
What is the win probability for Malta?
Malta has a 60% chance to win this match. The team is playing at home, has won both previous meetings against Gibraltar, and enters the game with better recent results.
When is the Malta vs Gibraltar match?
The match is on October 1, 2026, at 15:45 local time. It is a UEFA Nations League fixture played at Ta Qali National Stadium in Attard.
What are the odds for the match?
The odds for a Malta win are around 1.30, a draw is at 5.76, and a Gibraltar win is at 13.50. These odds reflect Malta's strong favorite status.
What is the head-to-head record between Malta and Gibraltar?
Malta has won both previous matches against Gibraltar: 1-0 in 2023 and 2-0 in 2020. Gibraltar has not scored a goal in these two encounters.