Gillingham - Cambridge United prediction 22/09/2026

Gillingham vs Cambridge United prediction for the EFL Trophy match on Sep 22, 2026, at 18:00. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and bookmaker odds, Gillingham is the favorite with a 40% win probability. The draw stands at 25%, while Cambridge United has a 35% chance of winning.

Team Form

Gillingham comes into this match unbeaten in their last five games, with three wins and two draws. At home, they beat Bristol Rovers 3-0 and Tranmere Rovers 2-0, and drew 1-1 with Northampton Town. Away from home, they won 4-1 at Rochdale and drew 1-1 at Chesterfield. The team is in solid shape, especially at Priestfield Stadium.

Cambridge United's recent away form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in the last five matches. They drew 1-1 at Oxford United, won 2-1 at Bradford City, and drew 2-2 at Burton Albion. Their only defeat came at home against Huddersfield Town (1-2). The team has been competitive but less consistent than Gillingham.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last seven meetings, Gillingham has won four times, Cambridge United twice, and one match ended in a draw. The most recent clash on Mar 14, 2026, saw Cambridge United win 5-0 at home. Before that, on Dec 26, 2025, Gillingham drew 1-1 at home. Earlier encounters in League 1 and League 2 show Gillingham often has the edge at Priestfield Stadium, with a 1-0 win in February 2022.

League Table Positions

Both teams play in different divisions – Gillingham in League 2 and Cambridge United in League 1. The EFL Trophy match pits a strong League 2 side against a mid-table League 1 team. Gillingham's recent form suggests they are performing above their division's average, while Cambridge United's away results show they can be vulnerable.

Win Probability: Gillingham or Cambridge United?

After analyzing the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following probabilities: Gillingham win – 40%, draw – 25%, Cambridge United win – 35%. Gillingham's unbeaten run and strong home performances give them a slight edge. Cambridge United's mixed away form and the 5-0 win in the last H2H add some uncertainty, but the home factor tilts the balance toward Gillingham.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds: Gillingham at 2.59, draw at 4.03, and Cambridge United at 2.67. These odds reflect a close contest, with Gillingham slightly favored. Our prediction: Gillingham to win, but a draw is a realistic outcome. Based on the stats, a 1-0 or 2-1 home victory is the most likely scenario. For betting tips, the home win offers value, while the draw could be a safer option given the tight odds.