Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa - Real Tegus prediction 23/09/2026

This Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa vs Real Tegus prediction covers the Liga de Ascenso match on Sep 23 at 23:00 in Honduras. Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa are the slight favorite with a 37% win probability, while the draw has a 35% chance and Real Tegus have a 28% chance. Use this prediction with the latest betting tips and odds before the game.

Team Form

Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa come into this game with four draws and one loss in their last five matches. The form line from the available data is D, D, D, L, D. They drew 1-1 with CD Estrella Roja on Mar 25, drew 2-2 with Meluca on Mar 22, drew 1-1 with CD San Rafael on Feb 7, lost 1-3 to Arsenal Roatan on Sep 24, and drew 2-2 with CD San Rafael on Aug 8. The home side has been consistent but has not won in this five-match sample.

Real Tegus have two wins, two losses and one draw in their last five matches, with the form line D, W, L, L, W. They drew 1-1 with AFFI Academia on Mar 20, beat Marcala Junior 3-1 on Mar 6, lost 5-1 to CA Independiente Siguatepeque on Sep 24, lost 2-3 to AFFI Academia on Sep 20, and beat Marcala Junior 4-3 on Sep 6. Their only away game in that stretch was the 5-1 defeat to CA Independiente Siguatepeque, so away form is a question for Real Tegus.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record in the supplied data shows 0 wins for Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa, 0 draws and 0 wins for Real Tegus. In other words, there are no previous H2H meetings to compare. This Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa vs Real Tegus prediction therefore relies on team form, the home factor and match odds.

League Table Positions

The available data does not include league table positions or points for Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa and Real Tegus. Without that information, the win probability below uses recent form, home advantage and bookmakers' odds as the main inputs.

Win Probability: Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa vs Real Tegus Prediction

Based on the odds, team form and home advantage, the chances are: Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa 37%, draw 35%, Real Tegus 28%. The total is 100%.

Bookmakers' average 1X2 odds are around 2.40 for a Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa win, 2.51 for the draw and 2.86 for a Real Tegus win. After removing the margin, those odds imply about 36% for Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa, 34% for the draw and 30% for Real Tegus. We adjust the numbers slightly because Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa have four draws in their last five matches and Real Tegus lost their only away match in that run 5-1 to CA Independiente Siguatepeque.

The conclusion is that Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa are the more likely side to win, but the draw is close and cannot be ignored.

Odds & Match Prediction

The three bookmakers in the data price Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa from 2.35 to 2.45, the draw from 2.20 to 3.08, and Real Tegus from 2.59 to 3.10. The bookmakers see Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa as the favorite, but the draw odds are also short.

The final Gimnastico de Tegucigalpa vs Real Tegus prediction is a home win with a 37% chance, with the draw as the second most likely result at 35%. Real Tegus have a 28% chance. Based on the stats, betting tips for this Liga de Ascenso match should respect the home side's small edge and the high draw chance.