Girona - Albacete prediction 27/09/2026

Our Girona vs Albacete prediction for the Segunda match on Sep 25 at 15:30 is clear: Girona is the favorite with a 60% win probability. The game at Estadi Montilivi sees a strong home side against an Albacete team struggling for form. We break down the stats, head-to-head record, and league table positions to give you the best betting tips.

Team Form

Girona comes into this match with three wins in their last five games (W, L, W, W, L). They scored 12 goals in their six league matches so far, showing real attacking power. Their last home game was a 5-2 win over Las Palmas, but they lost 1-2 to Castellon in their most recent match at Estadi Montilivi. Albacete's form is poor - they have one draw and four losses in their last five (L, D, L, L, L). They have conceded at least one goal in each of those five matches and lost their last three away games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head stats strongly favor Girona. In the last five meetings, Girona won three and two ended in draws. Albacete has never beaten Girona in this period. The most recent match was on Mar 28, 2021, when Girona won 2-1 at home. Before that, Girona won 2-0 away at Albacete on Dec 6, 2020. Two games in March 2020 both ended 1-1. Girona has scored at least one goal in every H2H match.

League Table Positions

Girona sits 8th in the Segunda table with 10 points from 6 games (3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). They have a goal difference of +4 (12 scored, 8 conceded). Albacete is much lower in the standings - they are not in the top 12 shown in the overall table, which means they have fewer than 8 points. Girona's away form is solid with 6 points from 3 road games (ranked 4th in the away table), but this match is at home where they will look to improve their record.

Win Probability: Girona or Albacete?

Based on all the data, here is our win probability calculation: Girona has a 60% chance to win, the draw is at 25%, and Albacete has a 15% chance. We took the bookmaker odds as a base - the average home win odds are around 1.50, which implies a 66% probability before removing the margin. After normalizing and adjusting for Girona's stronger recent form (3 wins in 5 vs 0 wins in 5 for Albacete), the dominant H2H record (3 wins, 0 losses), and the home advantage at Estadi Montilivi, we settled on a 60% actual win probability for Girona. Albacete's poor away form and low league position reduce their chances significantly. The draw is a real possibility given two of the last five H2H matches ended level, but Girona's attacking quality should make the difference.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers see Girona as the clear favorite. The best home win odds are 1.56, with other bookies offering between 1.45 and 1.50. The draw is priced around 2.50 to 4.45, and an Albacete away win is as high as 6.00. These odds confirm that the betting market expects a Girona victory. Our Girona vs Albacete prediction is a home win. Based on the stats, form, and H2H, Girona should have too much quality for an out-of-form Albacete side. A 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline looks likely.