Tenerife - Girona prediction 12/10/2026

This Tenerife vs Girona prediction looks at the Segunda match on Oct 12 at 16:00 at the Estadio Heliodoro Rodriguez Lopez. Based on the latest odds, form and head-to-head data, Girona enters this game as a slight favorite with a win probability of 45%, while Tenerife has a 30% chance and a draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Tenerife's last five results are L, D, L, W, D. On Oct 5 they lost 3-2 away to Cordoba CF. Before that a 1-1 home draw with Cadiz, a heavy 5-0 away loss at Castellon, a 2-0 home win over Leganes and a 1-1 away draw at Real Sociedad B. The team has struggled for consistency.

Girona shows D, W, W, L, W in their last five. They drew 0-0 at home with Mallorca on Oct 4, beat Albacete 2-0 at home, won 2-1 at Cadiz, lost 1-2 at home to Castellon and won 2-0 at Sporting Gijon. Their away form is solid with two wins in the last three on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H between Tenerife and Girona stands at 6 home wins for Tenerife, 2 draws and 4 away wins for Girona. Recent meetings are tight. The most recent match on Jun 19, 2022 saw Girona win 3-1 at Tenerife. The earlier playoff games ended 0-0 at Girona and a 1-0 away win for Tenerife at Girona on May 9, 2022. In November 2021 Tenerife won 2-1 at home. The head-to-head data suggests neither team dominates completely.

League Table Positions

In the overall Segunda standings Girona sits 7th with 14 points from 8 games (4 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). Tenerife is not in the top 12 shown, indicating a lower position. Girona's away record ranks 8th with 6 points from 3 away games (2 wins, 1 loss). Girona holds a clear league position advantage heading into this fixture.

Win Probability: Tenerife or Girona?

The win probability calculation uses bookmaker odds as the base, then adjusts for team form and head-to-head records. Girona has a 45% chance of winning this match. Tenerife is given a 30% probability and a draw has a 25% chance. Girona's better league standing, stronger recent away performances and the latest H2H result all point toward an away win as the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' average odds reflect a close encounter: Tenerife home win at 3.04, draw at 3.22 and Girona away win at 2.69. The best available odds for Tenerife are 2.70, for Girona they go up to 3.10. The odds show Girona as a marginal favorite. Based on the stats, form and league table, our Tenerife vs Girona prediction leans towards Girona to win, but a draw is a strong possibility.