NK HV Posedarje - GOSK Dubrovnik prediction 02/10/2026

NK HV Posedarje vs GOSK Dubrovnik prediction for the Treca HNL match on Oct 2, 2026. The bookmakers see NK HV Posedarje as the favorite with a 45% win probability, but recent form suggests a closer contest. This betting preview covers team form, head-to-head record, league table positions, odds and our final match prediction.

Team Form

NK HV Posedarje comes into this match with a mixed run: one win, two draws and two losses in the last five games. The 8-0 defeat away to Neretva Metkovic stands out as a heavy blow, but they bounced back with a 5-2 home win over Val Kastel Stari. At home they have been inconsistent, with a draw against HNK Sloga Mravince (3-3) and a narrow loss to Kamen Ivanbegovina (0-1).

GOSK Dubrovnik's recent away form shows two wins, one draw and two losses. They beat Sibenik 2-1 and GOSK Kastela 2-1, drew 1-1 with Jadran Kastel Sucurac, and lost to Zadar (1-2) and Junak Sinj (0-1). The team has shown resilience on the road, scoring in four of those five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between NK HV Posedarje and GOSK Dubrovnik. This will be the first head-to-head clash, so no historical data can influence the prediction. Both teams will be looking to set an early advantage in this new fixture.

League Table Positions

Neither NK HV Posedarje nor GOSK Dubrovnik appear in the top 12 of the Treca HNL standings. The available table shows NK Pazinka leading with 27 points, while the home and away splits highlight strong performances from Buje and NK Lokomotiva Rijeka respectively. The absence of both teams from the upper half indicates they are likely in the lower part of the table, making this a battle between two sides aiming to climb.

Win Probability: NK HV Posedarje or GOSK Dubrovnik?

Based on the odds, form and home advantage, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: NK HV Posedarje 45%, draw 28%, GOSK Dubrovnik 27%. The home side gets the edge from playing at their own stadium and being priced as favorites by bookmakers. However, their recent form is patchy, with only one win in five, which reduces their probability from the raw odds-implied 50%. GOSK Dubrovnik's away record of two wins in the last five gives them a realistic chance, and the draw probability is boosted by the home team's two stalemates in that period. Overall, NK HV Posedarje is more likely to win, but the match could easily end level.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds for NK HV Posedarje vs GOSK Dubrovnik are: home win 1.80, draw 3.50, away win 3.60. Bookmakers clearly favor the home side, but the odds on the draw and away win suggest they see a competitive match. Our prediction: based on the stats, NK HV Posedarje has the highest chance, but the value might lie in the draw given both teams' inconsistent form. A tight encounter with under 2.5 goals is a plausible outcome.