North Carolina Courage Women - Gotham FC Women prediction 19/09/2026

North Carolina Courage Women vs Gotham FC Women prediction for the NWSL Women match on Sep 19, 2026, at 22:30. Based on the stats, Gotham FC Women is the favorite with a 35% win probability, while the draw is at 35% and North Carolina Courage Women has a 30% chance.

Team Form

North Carolina Courage Women come into this match with a mixed recent record: L, W, L, W, W in their last five games. They lost 2-1 away to San Diego Wave Women on Sep 12, but before that they beat Chicago Red Stars Women 6-0 away and Angel City Women 2-0 at home. Their home form shows three wins in the last five at home, but they also lost to Kansas City Women 3-2.

Gotham FC Women have been more consistent: W, L, D, D, W in their last five. They won 2-1 away at Racing Louisville Women on Sep 11, lost 3-0 at Denver Summit Women, and drew 1-1 at home with Portland Thorns Women. Away from home, Gotham FC Women have two wins, two draws, and one loss in the last five away matches.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last two meetings, North Carolina Courage Women have 1 win, 1 draw, and Gotham FC Women have 0 wins. The most recent match on Mar 21, 2026, ended 0-0 at Gotham FC Women. Before that, on Nov 02, 2025, North Carolina Courage Women won 3-2 at home. The head-to-head record suggests a tight contest, with the home side having a slight edge historically.

League Table Positions

Gotham FC Women sit 1st in the NWSL Women overall standings with 48 points from 24 matches (14 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses). North Carolina Courage Women are 5th with 39 points (12 wins, 3 draws, 9 losses). At home, North Carolina Courage Women rank 8th with 19 points from 12 games (6 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses). Away, Gotham FC Women are 2nd with 23 points from 12 games (7 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). The table clearly favors Gotham FC Women, especially their strong away form.

Win Probability: North Carolina Courage Women or Gotham FC Women?

We calculate the chances as: North Carolina Courage Women win 30%, draw 35%, Gotham FC Women win 35%. This is based on the odds (home 3.00, draw 2.38, away 2.70), which imply a draw is most likely, but we adjust for Gotham FC Women's superior league position and away record. North Carolina Courage Women's inconsistent home form also lowers their probability. So, Gotham FC Women are slightly more likely to win, but a draw is a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers offer odds of 3.00 for a North Carolina Courage Women win, 2.38 for the draw, and 2.70 for a Gotham FC Women win. These odds show that the draw is the most probable single result according to the market. Our North Carolina Courage Women vs Gotham FC Women prediction: based on the stats, Gotham FC Women have the edge, but the match could easily end level. A low-scoring draw or a narrow away win are the most likely scenarios.