Greece - Serbia prediction 16/11/2026

The Serbia vs Greece prediction for the UEFA Nations League match on Sep 24, 2026, points to a tight contest at Stadion Rajko Mitić. Based on the latest odds and recent form, Serbia has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Greece has a 30% chance. This Serbia Greece prediction breaks down all the key stats you need for your betting tips.

Team Form

Serbia's recent form has been mixed. In their last five matches, they recorded two wins and three losses. The wins came against Saudi Arabia (2-1 and 2-1), but they suffered heavy defeats to Mexico (5-1), Cape Verde (3-0), and Spain (3-0). Playing at home, Serbia will need to tighten up defensively.

Greece's form shows one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five. They beat Bulgaria 4-0, drew with Sweden (2-2) and Hungary (0-0), and lost to Italy (1-0) and Paraguay (1-0). Greece has struggled to score consistently away from home, which could be a factor in this match.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recent head-to-head record between Serbia and Greece. The data shows zero wins for the home side, zero draws, and zero wins for the away side in their past meetings. This makes the Serbia vs Greece prediction rely more heavily on current form and odds.

League Table Positions

The UEFA Nations League standings show both teams are yet to play a match in the current campaign. All teams in the group, including Latvia, Gibraltar, Kazakhstan, and others, have zero points. Therefore, league table positions do not offer any advantage for this Serbia Greece match.

Win Probability: Serbia or Greece?

Who will win Serbia vs Greece? We calculate Serbia's win probability at 38%, the draw at 32%, and a Greece win at 30%. This is based on the bookmaker odds, which we normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted slightly for Serbia's home advantage and Greece's recent struggles to score on the road. Serbia is the slight favorite, but the match outcome is far from certain.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match show a home win for Serbia at 2.40, a draw at 2.05, and an away win for Greece at 2.80. Bookmakers see this as a very open game, with the draw priced as the most likely single result by some. Our Serbia vs Greece prediction is that this will be a low-scoring affair. Based on the stats, a draw looks like a real possibility, but Serbia's home crowd could give them the edge to secure a narrow win.