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Gremio RS - Chapecoense SC prediction 30/08/2026

Brazil · Serie A·

Match info

Competição
Serie A · Brazil
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Gremio RS

Gremio RSCruzeiro MG24DSerie A

Gremio RSInternacional RS11ESerie A

Remo PAGremio RS11ESerie A

Gremio RSPalmeiras SP00ESerie A

Botafogo RJGremio RS32DSerie A
Chapecoense SC

Botafogo RJChapecoense SC10DSerie A

Chapecoense SCAtletico Paranaense PR14DSerie A

Vitoria BAChapecoense SC40DSerie A

Atletico Nacional MedellinChapecoense SC11EFriendly Clubs

Atletico Mineiro MGChapecoense SC11ESerie A

Confronto direto

20 confrontos
Gremio RS 11Empates 81 Chapecoense SC

Gremio RSChapecoense SC31Serie A

Gremio RSChapecoense SC12Friendly Clubs

Chapecoense SCGremio RS11Serie A

Chapecoense SCGremio RS00Serie B

Chapecoense SCGremio RS13Serie A

Gremio RSChapecoense SC21Serie A

Gremio RSChapecoense SC21Serie A

Gremio RSChapecoense SC20Serie A

Chapecoense SCGremio RS01Serie A

Gremio RSChapecoense SC33Serie A

Serie A 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Flamengo RJ31207461:2567
2Palmeiras SP31199354:2266
3Atletico Paranaense PR31158849:3753
4Cruzeiro MG311561050:4651
5Fluminense31149849:3951
6Atletico Mineiro MG31148942:3550
7Bahia BA311310844:3949
8Santos311291048:4645
9Sao Paulo SP311261336:3542
10Red Bull Bragantino SP311181239:3641
11Botafogo RJ311091244:4839
12Coritiba PR311091238:4939
13Vitoria BA311071434:4537
14Mirassol SP31991336:4436
15Vasco DA Gama30981336:4335
16Corinthians SP31891432:3933
17Internacional RS317111333:4032
18Gremio RS317101434:4431
19Remo PA315111534:4926
20Chapecoense-sc30391830:6218

Gremio RS vs Chapecoense SC prediction for the Serie A match on Aug 30, 2026 at Arena do Grêmio. Based on the stats, Gremio RS is the favorite with a 50% win probability, while Chapecoense SC has a 20% chance and the draw sits at 30%.

Team Form

Gremio RS comes into this match with mixed recent results: a draw against Internacional RS (0-0), losses to Red Bull Bragantino SP (0-1) and Atletico Mineiro MG (0-3), but wins over Sao Paulo SP (2-1) and Mirassol SP (1-0). At home, they have been solid, winning two of their last three at Arena do Grêmio.

Chapecoense SC's last five matches show a win against Sao Paulo SP (1-0), a high-scoring draw with Bahia BA (3-3), and defeats to Coritiba PR (1-2) and Cruzeiro MG (0-2). Their away form has been inconsistent, with only one win in the last five on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

In 19 previous meetings, Gremio RS has dominated with 10 wins, 8 draws, and only 1 loss to Chapecoense SC. The most recent clash was a friendly in July 2026 where Chapecoense SC won 2-1 away, but before that, Gremio RS had a 3-1 away win in Serie A in November 2021 and a 2-1 home win in August 2021. The overall H2H clearly favors the home side.

League Table Positions

Gremio RS sits 7th in the home standings with 21 points from 11 games (6 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Chapecoense SC is not in the top 8 of the away table, indicating struggles on the road. In the overall Serie A table, Gremio RS is not listed in the top 12, but their home form gives them a clear edge.

Win Probability: Gremio RS or Chapecoense SC?

After analyzing the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Gremio RS has a 50% chance to win, the draw is at 30%, and Chapecoense SC has a 20% chance. The bookmakers' implied odds (after removing the margin) give Gremio RS around 46%, but their strong H2H dominance and home record push the number higher. Chapecoense SC's away inconsistency and poor historical results at Arena do Grêmio make an away win unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are: Gremio RS win at 1.91, draw at 2.38, and Chapecoense SC win at 5.00. Bookmakers see Gremio RS as the clear favorite. Our Gremio RS vs Chapecoense SC prediction is a home win, but the draw is a real possibility given Chapecoense SC's recent ability to grind out results. For betting tips, the home win odds offer value, and under 2.5 goals could also be worth considering based on the recent low-scoring matches between these sides.

Gremio RS vs Chapecoense SC – FAQ

Who will win Gremio RS vs Chapecoense SC?
Gremio RS has a 50% chance to win, the draw is at 30%, and Chapecoense SC has a 20% chance. Based on the stats, Gremio RS is the favorite.
What is the win probability for Gremio RS?
Gremio RS has a 50% win probability. This is based on their strong home form, dominant head-to-head record (10 wins in 19 matches), and the bookmakers' odds.
When is the Gremio RS vs Chapecoense SC match?
The match is on Aug 30, 2026, at 21:30 local time. It is a Serie A fixture and will be played at Arena do Grêmio in Porto Alegre.
What are the odds for Gremio RS vs Chapecoense SC?
The current odds are: Gremio RS win at 1.91, draw at 2.38, and Chapecoense SC win at 5.00. These odds come from leading bookmakers and show Gremio RS as the favorite.