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Gremio RS - Vasco da Gama RJ prediction 12/09/2026

Brazil · Serie A·

Match info

Competição
Serie A · Brazil
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Gremio RS

Gremio RSCruzeiro MG24DSerie A

Gremio RSInternacional RS11ESerie A

Remo PAGremio RS11ESerie A

Gremio RSPalmeiras SP00ESerie A

Botafogo RJGremio RS32DSerie A
Vasco da Gama RJ

Vasco da Gama RJBoca Juniors13DCopa Sudamericana

Sao Paulo SPVasco da Gama RJ10DSerie A

Boca JuniorsVasco da Gama RJ01VCopa Sudamericana

Vasco da Gama RJRemo PA00ESerie A

Botafogo RJVasco da Gama RJ12VSerie A

Confronto direto

31 confrontos
Gremio RS 12Empates 613 Vasco da Gama RJ

Gremio RSVasco da Gama RJ12Serie A

Vasco da Gama RJGremio RS21Serie A

Gremio RSVasco da Gama RJ20Serie A

Vasco da Gama RJGremio RS11Serie A

Vasco da Gama RJGremio RS21Serie A

Gremio RSVasco da Gama RJ10Serie A

Vasco da Gama RJGremio RS10Serie A

Gremio RSVasco da Gama RJ21Serie A

Vasco da Gama RJGremio RS00Serie A

Gremio RSVasco da Gama RJ40Serie A

Serie A 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Flamengo RJ31207461:2567
2Palmeiras SP31199354:2266
3Atletico Paranaense PR31158849:3753
4Cruzeiro MG311561050:4651
5Fluminense31149849:3951
6Atletico Mineiro MG31148942:3550
7Bahia BA311310844:3949
8Santos311291048:4645
9Sao Paulo SP311261336:3542
10Red Bull Bragantino SP311181239:3641
11Botafogo RJ311091244:4839
12Coritiba PR311091238:4939
13Vitoria BA311071434:4537
14Mirassol SP31991336:4436
15Vasco DA Gama30981336:4335
16Corinthians SP31891432:3933
17Internacional RS317111333:4032
18Gremio RS317101434:4431
19Remo PA315111534:4926
20Chapecoense-sc30391830:6218

The Gremio RS vs Vasco da Gama RJ prediction for the Serie A match on Sep 12, 2026, points to Gremio RS as the favorite with a 45% win probability. The draw sits at 30%, while Vasco da Gama RJ has a 25% chance of taking all three points.

Team Form

Gremio RS comes into this match with strong recent results at home. In their last five outings, they recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss. The wins include a 3-1 victory over Internacional RS in the Cup and a 3-1 league win against Chapecoense SC. The only setback was a 1-0 away loss to Red Bull Bragantino SP.

Vasco da Gama RJ shows a similar pattern - three wins and two losses in the last five. They beat Vitoria BA twice (2-0 and 1-0) and Cruzeiro MG 3-1, but fell to Fluminense RJ 1-0 and suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat at Palmeiras SP. Away form remains a concern.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Gremio RS and Vasco da Gama RJ is perfectly balanced: 12 wins each and 6 draws in their history. The last five meetings show how tight this matchup is - Vasco won the most recent clash 2-1 in March 2026, Gremio won 2-0 in November 2025, and there was a 1-1 draw in July 2025. No clear pattern emerges, but home advantage often plays a role.

League Table Positions

Neither side appears in the top 12 of the overall Serie A standings, but Gremio RS boasts a solid home record. They rank 7th in the home table with 7 wins, 3 draws, and only 2 losses from 12 matches, scoring 21 goals. Vasco da Gama RJ does not feature among the top 8 away teams, which underlines their struggles on the road.

Win Probability: Gremio RS or Vasco da Gama RJ?

Based on the odds, team form, and home/away stats, Gremio RS has a 45% chance to win, the draw is at 30%, and Vasco da Gama RJ has a 25% chance. The bookmakers' implied probabilities were adjusted to reflect Gremio's strong home performances and Vasco's inconsistent away results. The balanced H2H record keeps the draw probability significant.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds see Gremio RS at 2.02, the draw at 2.08, and Vasco da Gama RJ at 3.70. Bookmakers clearly see Gremio as the favorite, but the tight draw odds suggest a close contest. Our Gremio RS vs Vasco da Gama RJ prediction sides with the home team to edge it, though a draw cannot be ruled out given the stats.

Gremio RS vs Vasco da Gama RJ – FAQ

Who will win Gremio RS vs Vasco da Gama RJ?
Gremio RS has a 45% chance to win, the draw is at 30%, and Vasco da Gama RJ has a 25% chance. The home advantage and Gremio's strong form at their stadium make them the most likely winner.
What is the win probability for Gremio RS?
Gremio RS has a 45% win probability. This number comes from the odds, their 7th-place home record, and Vasco da Gama RJ's weaker away performances.
When is the Gremio RS vs Vasco da Gama RJ match?
The match is on Sep 12, 2026, at 19:00 local time. It is a Serie A fixture, the top division of Brazilian football.
What are the odds for the match?
The best available odds are 2.02 for a Gremio RS win, 2.08 for the draw, and 3.70 for a Vasco da Gama RJ victory. These odds reflect Gremio as the favorite.