Rodez Aveyron - Grenoble prediction 11/09/2026

The Rodez Aveyron vs Grenoble prediction for September 11, 2026, points to a home win in this Ligue 2 clash. The match kicks off at 18:00, and based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and team form, Rodez Aveyron has a 55% chance of winning. The draw sits at 25%, and Grenoble has a 20% chance to take all three points.

Team Form

Rodez Aveyron come into this match with a mixed run of results in their last five games: L, D, W, L, W. Their most recent outing was a heavy 4-1 defeat away to Metz on Sep 05. Before that, they drew 2-2 at home against Pau and picked up an impressive 5-2 win at Nantes. At home this season, Rodez Aveyron have been solid, beating Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC 3-1 and drawing with Pau.

Grenoble's recent form reads L, W, L, D, L. They lost 2-1 at home to Annecy on Sep 04, which followed a strong 3-0 away win at Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC. However, a 4-0 defeat at Saint Etienne and a 4-2 loss at USL Dunkerque highlight their struggles on the road. Grenoble have managed just one win in their last five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides shows Grenoble with the upper hand historically. In 16 previous meetings, Grenoble have won 8, Rodez Aveyron have won 3, and there have been 5 draws. The last five matches tell a clear story: Grenoble won three of them (2-1, 2-1, 2-1), while Rodez Aveyron won the other two (1-0 and 3-1). The most recent clash was on Mar 06, 2026, when Rodez Aveyron beat Grenoble 1-0 at home.

League Table Positions

In the Ligue 2 standings, Rodez Aveyron sit 8th overall with 7 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). They have scored 11 goals and conceded 11. At home, they are 5th with 4 points from 2 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Grenoble are not in the top 12 of the overall table, which means they are lower down the standings. Their away form has been poor, with heavy defeats already this season.

Win Probability: Rodez Aveyron or Grenoble?

After analyzing all available data, the win probability for this match is: Rodez Aveyron 55%, draw 25%, Grenoble 20%. The calculation uses the bookmaker odds as a base - the best home win odds are around 1.65, which implies a 60% chance before removing the margin. After adjusting for the draw odds (around 2.30) and away win odds (around 4.33), and factoring in Rodez Aveyron's stronger home form and Grenoble's poor away results, the home side emerges as the clear favorite. Grenoble have lost 4 of their last 5 away matches, while Rodez Aveyron are unbeaten at home this season. The head-to-head is Grenoble's only positive, but current form heavily favors Rodez Aveyron.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this Ligue 2 match see Rodez Aveyron priced at 1.65 to win, the draw at 2.30, and a Grenoble victory at 4.33. Other bookmakers offer a home win at 1.70, draw at 2.30, and away win at 4.45. These odds confirm that bookmakers see Rodez Aveyron as the favorite. Based on the stats, the Rodez Aveyron vs Grenoble prediction is a home win. The home advantage, combined with Grenoble's leaky defense on the road, makes Rodez Aveyron the most likely winner. A bet on Rodez Aveyron to win offers value, while the draw is a possible but less probable outcome.