MuSA - GrIFK Grankulla prediction 03/10/2026

Our MuSA vs GrIFK Grankulla prediction for the Kakkonen match on Oct 3 at 11:00 is here. Based on the head-to-head record and current odds, GrIFK Grankulla enters as a slight favorite with a 38% win probability. Who will win this Finland league clash? Read on for team form, H2H stats, and betting tips.

Team Form

MuSA comes into this match with a mixed record in their last five games: W, D, D, L, W. Their most recent outing was a 3-2 home win against Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura on Sep 26. Before that, they drew 1-1 away at GrIFK Grankulla on Sep 18. The team has scored in four of those five matches, but a heavy 4-0 loss to Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura on Sep 4 shows some defensive issues.

GrIFK Grankulla's last five results read D, D, L, D, W. They drew 1-1 at EBK on Sep 26 and also drew 1-1 at home against MuSA on Sep 18. A 2-1 loss at Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura on Sep 12 is their only defeat in this run. GrIFK Grankulla has been hard to beat lately, with four draws in five matches, but they need to turn those draws into wins.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head stats between these two teams show GrIFK Grankulla with a clear edge. In 12 previous meetings, GrIFK Grankulla has 6 wins, MuSA has 2 wins, and there have been 4 draws. The last three encounters in 2026 all ended in draws: 1-1 on Sep 18, 3-1 to MuSA on Jul 9, and 1-1 on May 2. The most recent GrIFK Grankulla win was a 2-1 away result on Sep 11, 2022.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in the Finland Kakkonen. While exact table positions and points are not available in the current data, the recent form and H2H record suggest these are two evenly matched sides in the league. The draw trend in their 2026 meetings points to a tight contest with little to separate them.

Win Probability: MuSA or GrIFK Grankulla?

We calculated the win probability using the available odds and recent stats. The bookmakers' average odds imply a home win chance around 40%, a draw around 27%, and an away win around 33%. After adjusting for the head-to-head record where GrIFK Grankulla leads 6 wins to 2, and the current form with GrIFK Grankulla losing just once in five, we see the away side as slightly more likely. Our final win probability: MuSA has a 35% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and GrIFK Grankulla has a 38% chance. GrIFK Grankulla is the more probable winner, but this match outcome is far from certain.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this match from different bookmakers show a tight contest. The 1X2 market has home odds ranging from 2.10 to 2.39, draw odds from 2.62 to 4.45, and away odds from 2.59 to 2.88. Bookmakers see MuSA as a marginal favorite at the lowest odds of 2.10, but the high draw odds at some books suggest value there. Based on the stats, our MuSA vs GrIFK Grankulla prediction leans toward an away win or draw double chance. The H2H record and GrIFK Grankulla's solid form make them the pick to avoid defeat.