Guarani Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta prediction 07/09/2026

The Guarani Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta prediction points to a home win in this Primera Division match on September 7, 2026, at 19:00. Based on the latest stats, Guarani Asuncion has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Deportivo Recoleta has a 20% chance. The bookmakers also see the home side as the clear favorite.

Team Form

Guarani Asuncion comes into this match with a string of draws. Their last five results are D, D, D, L, D. They drew 1-1 away against Olimpia Asuncion on Sep 02 and 1-1 at home against Sportivo Ameliano on Aug 30. A 0-0 draw at 2 de Mayo on Aug 25 and a 0-0 draw at Nacional Asuncion on Aug 09 show a team that is hard to beat but struggles to close out games. The only loss in this run was a 2-3 home defeat to Rubio Nu on Aug 15.

Deportivo Recoleta is in poor form, losing their last five matches. They lost 1-3 at home to Cerro Porteno on Sep 03, 1-2 at home to Olimpia Asuncion on Aug 29, and 1-3 away at Sportivo Ameliano on Aug 22. A heavy 0-4 home loss to Boca Juniors in the Copa Sudamericana on Aug 18 and a 1-2 home loss to 2 de Mayo on Aug 14 complete a very difficult run. The away form is a major concern for Deportivo Recoleta.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams favors Guarani Asuncion slightly. In the last 7 meetings, Guarani Asuncion has 4 wins, Deportivo Recoleta has 3 wins, and there have been no draws. The most recent match was on May 23, 2026, when Deportivo Recoleta won 2-1 at home. Before that, Guarani Asuncion won 3-1 at home on Mar 18, 2026. The H2H history shows that the home team often has the edge, with Guarani Asuncion winning the last two home fixtures against Deportivo Recoleta.

League Table Positions

In the Primera Division overall standings, Guarani Asuncion sits 7th with 29 points from 21 matches (7 wins, 8 draws, 6 losses). Deportivo Recoleta is 8th with 25 points from 21 matches (7 wins, 4 draws, 10 losses). At home, Guarani Asuncion is much stronger, ranked 5th with 20 points from 11 home games (6 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). Deportivo Recoleta's away form is weaker, with only 7 points from 11 away matches, placing them lower in the away standings. The home advantage is a key factor for this Guarani Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta prediction.

Win Probability: Guarani Asuncion or Deportivo Recoleta?

We calculate the win probability based on odds, recent form, and the head-to-head record. The average bookmaker odds imply a home win probability around 51%, a draw around 29%, and an away win around 20%. Adjusting for Guarani Asuncion's solid home form (6 wins in 11) and Deportivo Recoleta's five straight losses, we slightly raise the home chance. Guarani Asuncion has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Deportivo Recoleta has a 20% chance. The total equals 100%. The conclusion is clear: Guarani Asuncion is the more likely winner, but the high number of recent draws for the home side makes the draw a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this match show Guarani Asuncion as the favorite. The 1X2 market has home win odds ranging from 1.88 to 1.95, the draw between 2.15 and 3.50, and an away win between 3.50 and 4.00. Bookmakers see Guarani Asuncion as the team with the best chance. Our betting tips match this view - based on the stats, a home win is the most likely outcome. The match prediction is a narrow win for Guarani Asuncion, but with their recent draw trend, a low-scoring game could also be on the cards.