Hapoel Azor - Hapoel Mahane Yehuda prediction 23/09/2026

Our Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda prediction for this League Alef match on Sep 23 at 11:00 points to a tight contest. Based on recent form and head-to-head stats, Hapoel Azor has a 52% win probability, the draw is at 28%, and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda has a 20% chance. The home advantage and better recent results make Hapoel Azor the favorite in this betting tips preview.

Team Form

Hapoel Azor come into this match with a mixed run in their last five games: W, L, D, W, L. They beat Tzeirey Tira 2-0 at home on Sep 9 and Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem 2-1 back in February, but suffered a 3-0 loss away to Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi on Sep 18. Their home form shows two wins in the last three at their own ground.

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have struggled recently, with their last five results reading L, D, D, D, L. A 1-0 home defeat to Maccabi Ironi Sderot on Sep 17 extended a winless streak. They managed three straight draws before that, including a 1-1 result at Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon on Sep 9. Goals have been hard to come by for the away side.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is close. In 12 previous meetings, Hapoel Azor have 4 wins, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 3, and there have been 5 draws. The most recent clash was a 0-0 draw in the Cup on Aug 28, 2026. Before that, Hapoel Azor won a high-scoring League Alef match 5-3 at home in April 2019. The H2H numbers suggest another tight game is likely.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in League Alef in Israel. Specific table positions and points are not available in the current data, but the recent form indicates Hapoel Azor are in slightly better shape. Hapoel Mahane Yehuda's run of draws and losses points to a team that finds winning difficult, especially away from home.

Win Probability: Hapoel Azor or Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?

We calculate the win probability as follows: Hapoel Azor 52%, draw 28%, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 20%. This is based on the inverse of the best available odds (home 2.02, draw 3.25, away 3.15), adjusted for Hapoel Azor's home advantage and slightly better recent form. The head-to-head record, which shows many draws, also supports a higher chance of a stalemate than the raw odds imply. Overall, Hapoel Azor are the more likely winners, but the match outcome is far from certain.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds for this match. One set shows a home win at 2.62, a draw at 2.20, and an away win at 3.75. Another bookmaker prices Hapoel Azor at 2.02, the draw at 3.25, and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda at 3.15. The odds suggest the bookmakers see this as an open game, with the draw priced low in one market. Our Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda prediction is a home win, but with a low-scoring affair likely. Based on the stats, a 1-0 or 2-1 victory for Hapoel Azor looks the most probable outcome.