Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion - MSK Kiryat Yam prediction 10/09/2026

Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion vs MSK Kiryat Yam prediction for Sep 10, 2026 at 16:00 in Liga Leumit. Based on the stats, Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and MSK Kiryat Yam has a 28% chance. The home team is the slight favorite, but the head-to-head record tells a different story.

Team Form

Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion comes into this match with three wins, one draw and one loss in the last five games. Their last result was a 0-0 draw away against Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv on Sep 07. Before that they beat MS Kafr Qasim 2-1 at home and won 2-0 against Hapoel Kfar Saba. The home side has been solid at home with two wins from two Liga Leumit matches this season.

MSK Kiryat Yam has two wins, two losses and one draw in the last five. Their most recent match was a big 5-0 home win over Hapoel Acre FC on Sep 06. They also won 6-2 away at Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa on Aug 18. However, they lost 3-2 at Hapoel Kfar Shalem and 1-0 at home to Maccabi Bnei Raina. The away team has scored 13 goals in four league games, which is the joint highest in the division.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record strongly favors MSK Kiryat Yam. In three previous meetings, MSK Kiryat Yam has won all three. The last match was on May 05, 2026, when MSK Kiryat Yam won 2-1 away at Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion. Before that, on Jan 23, 2026, MSK Kiryat Yam won 2-0 at home. The first recorded meeting was on Sep 21, 2025, and MSK Kiryat Yam won 2-0 away. Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion has never beaten MSK Kiryat Yam.

League Table Positions

Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion is 2nd in the Liga Leumit table with 10 points from 4 matches. They have 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 6 goals scored and 2 conceded. At home they are 1st with 6 points from 2 games, scoring 4 and conceding 1.

MSK Kiryat Yam is 6th in the overall table with 6 points from 4 matches. They have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 13 goals scored and 6 conceded. Away from home they have 3 points from 2 games, with 8 goals scored and 4 conceded. The table positions clearly favor the home team.

Win Probability: Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion or MSK Kiryat Yam?

Who will win this match? Based on the odds, form, league table positions and home advantage, Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion has a 45% chance of winning. The draw is at 27%, and MSK Kiryat Yam has a 28% chance. The home team is higher in the table and has a perfect home record this season. But the head-to-head record is a big warning sign, because MSK Kiryat Yam has won all three previous meetings.

The bookmakers see this as a fairly open match. The best home odds are 2.47, the best draw odds are 3.63, and the best away odds are 3.25. That means the market gives the home team a slight edge, but the away team is not far behind. The probability calculation uses the inverse of the odds and adjusts for form and the head-to-head record.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this Liga Leumit match vary across bookmakers. The home win odds range from 2.35 to 2.47. The draw odds range from 2.25 to 3.63. The away win odds range from 2.75 to 3.25. Bookmakers see Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion as the favorite, but only slightly.

Our Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion vs MSK Kiryat Yam prediction is a home win, but with caution. The home team has better form and a strong home record, while MSK Kiryat Yam has the head-to-head advantage and scores a lot of goals. A draw is also a realistic outcome. Based on the stats, the most likely result is a narrow home win, but the value may be on the away side or the draw given the H2H record.