SC Inkberrow - Hartpury University FC prediction 13/10/2026

Our SC Inkberrow vs Hartpury University FC prediction for October 13 in the Southern Division One points to a tight contest. Based on the latest odds, league table positions, and team form, Hartpury University FC has a 42% chance of winning, SC Inkberrow has a 35% chance, and the draw is at 23%. This betting tips preview breaks down the head-to-head record, recent results, and win probability to help you decide who will win.

Team Form

SC Inkberrow come into this match with a mixed run of results. Their last five outings show two wins and three losses: L, W, W, L, L. The most recent was a 0-4 home defeat to Bishop's Cleeve on Sep 15. Before that, they beat Bideford 3-2 and Westbury United 2-1 at home, showing they can find goals in front of their own fans. A 1-3 loss at Swindon Supermarine and a 1-2 FA Trophy defeat to Stratford Town round out the picture.

Hartpury University FC have drawn three of their last five matches, with form reading L, D, L, D, D. They lost 1-3 at Tiverton Town on Oct 6 and drew 1-1 at home with Worcester Raiders on Sep 22. Earlier results include a 0-1 home loss to Mousehole, a 3-3 home draw with Shaftesbury Town, and a 0-0 FA Trophy draw with Gloucester City. The away side has been hard to beat lately but has only one win in that stretch.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head data available for SC Inkberrow and Hartpury University FC. The record stands at 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins, making this the first meeting between the two sides in our database. With no direct history to lean on, the league table and current form become even more important for this SC Inkberrow vs Hartpury University FC prediction.

League Table Positions

In the Southern Division One overall standings, Hartpury University FC sit 7th with 66 points from 41 matches (20 wins, 6 draws, 15 losses). They have scored 83 goals and conceded 55. SC Inkberrow are 11th with 52 points (15 wins, 7 draws, 19 losses), scoring 58 and conceding 75. The 14-point gap and superior goal difference highlight Hartpury University FC as the stronger side across the season.

Looking at home and away splits, SC Inkberrow rank 8th at home with 36 points from 21 games (11 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses). Hartpury University FC are 5th in the away table with 32 points from 21 away matches (10 wins, 2 draws, 9 losses). The visitors' away record is slightly better than the hosts' home form when comparing points per game, which influences the match outcome chances.

Win Probability: SC Inkberrow or Hartpury University FC?

We calculate the win probability using the available odds as a base, then adjust for team form, league positions, and the home/away factor. The bookmakers' odds imply a close match. After normalizing to remove the margin, SC Inkberrow has a 35% chance to win, the draw sits at 23%, and Hartpury University FC has a 42% chance. The away side gets the edge thanks to a better overall league record, a higher away ranking, and slightly more consistent recent results. The lack of head-to-head history adds some uncertainty, but the numbers point to Hartpury University FC as the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Three bookmakers offer 1X2 odds for this fixture. The best available home win price is 2.50, the draw is at 2.38, and the away win can be backed at 3.30. Some books have SC Inkberrow as short as 1.91, but the market consensus sees this as an open game. Based on the stats, our SC Inkberrow vs Hartpury University FC prediction is that the visitors have a narrow edge. The draw also holds solid value given Hartpury's recent run of stalemates. For betting tips, the away win or draw double chance covers the two most probable outcomes according to the win probability model.